What the censor is working hardest on

Ranked terms

Order is DDTI threat. Other layers only join. A blank join is a miss, not a negative.

Social differential

contained-visible: 1. suppressed-invisible: 1.

CDT campaigns

• 9 terms in Translation: “You Can’t Address Sexual Assault at Banquets Without Addressing the Nature of Power”
• 8 terms in Translation: Migrant Worker Jing Shuren On Trial After Two-Year Detention for Reposting Unpaid Wage Complaints
• 21 terms in Netizen Voices on the Investigation of Comedian Guo Degang for Riffing on a “Red” Tune: “The Cultural Revolution Never Ended”
• 20 terms in Translation: Euphemism and Censorship Surround Guangxi Flooding, Dam Breach News
• 15 terms in Translations: “Sometimes Forgetting Is as Terrible as the Disaster.” Censored Reflections on the Deadly Zhengzhou Floods, Five Years On
• 11 terms in Translation: No Scaling the Great Firewall in the Library
• 9 terms in Translation: The Deluge of Blocked Words Online - Why We Feel We “Cannot Speak Openly”
• 13 terms in Amid Hong Kong Book Fair, Police Raid Two More Independent Bookstores, Arrest Five Booksellers
• 16 terms in Translation: “Extreme Security” at Tiananmen Landmark in the Maddening Summer Heat
• 17 terms in Translation: “AI Has Determined That My Press Card Is a Fake”
• 37 terms in CDT’s “404 Deleted Content Archive” Summary for June 2026
• 19 terms in Mathematicians Wang Hong and Deng Yu Win Fields Medal, Prompting Debate About National Pride, Chinese Academia, and Feeling “Discouraged”
• 12 terms in “Everything Is Sensitive”: Foreign Correspondents’ Club Survey Echoes Netizen Frustration at Unpredictable Red Lines
• 2 terms in Photo: 广场鸽子, by Costi
• 2 terms in Photo: Xanadu, by Xiquinho Silva
• 2 terms in Freedom House - TNR Watch: Cyberattacks as a Tactic of Digital Transnational Repression
• 22 terms in Translations: On Foreign and Domestic Media and “Man-Made Problems Lurking Behind Natural Disasters”
• 31 terms in Minitrue: 718 Leaked Directives from Video Platform LeTV
• 18 terms in Translation: “Education for Migrant Workers’ Children Can’t Wait Any Longer”

Forecast scorecard

8 signals scored over 1606 one-step forecasts; 84% of readings fell inside the 80% band (well calibrated); adaptive bands beat the fixed-quantile baseline on 4 of 8

Abstentions

• No fused layer abstained.

Limits

• The ranking is censor attention allocation from China Digital Times, not a deletion rate.
• A missing layer is an abstention, never a zero and never calm.
• GDELT and Weibo joins are exact-term matches against the current DDTI list.
• The Generative Firewall Index is a named-panel refusal reading, not a motive claim.
• Cross-layer coincidence counts elevated layers; it does not identify a common cause.
• GitHub-as-Refuge reports pressure against persisted prior-presence baselines only.