Open a current measurement. Each page shows the result, source receipt, freshness and limit.

Current results

China ObservatorynewSee reporting status and current evidence China situation desknewCombine publisher reports, social context and measurements Public vantagesJoin public streams. Rumour stays context, never proof Signal boardInspect every signal and its freshness China BriefRead the current six-hour measurement brief Weekly situation reportnewSealed multi-layer fusion of what the censor is working on Censorship analysisOpen the latest cross-instrument result

Inspect the record

Source ledgerCheck access, rights, readiness and limits Release monitorsCheck publication clocks and revisions Find a deleted postnewOpen the evidence trail, export and cite Collector healthLast successful seal, and every abstention Live deletion monitorOpen the deletion tracker

Go directly to something usable. These links open a tool, data file, feed or verification surface.

Use a tool

Check a scam messageOpen the Telegram checker and privacy guide Verify an AI evalInspect preregistrations, run seals and chain roots Verify a claim offlineDownload a claim with its exact supporting bytes Cite a signalBuild a dataset or day citation from the atlas Challenge a numberReproduce the seal and file a method or source error Forecast scorecardWeighted Interval Scores, with the misses kept

Subscribe or build

Feeds directorynewChoose the RSS or JSON feed for your task Eval methods journalRead method changes, failures and falsifiers Download dataOpen every public dataset and licence API + MCPCall the read-only tools and inspect the contracts

Method

See what changed after feedback, inspect the source, or support the public work.

Project

What changed after feedbacknewRead the criticism-to-change ledger Fund the workNo paywall and no supporter-only evidence Source repositoryClone, verify and inspect the complete record

Prequential WIS

Which signals actually lead

Loading the forecast ledger.

Each signal is forecast one step ahead from only its own past, then scored with a Weighted Interval Score. Lower WIS is better. Misses stay published. Calibration is the claim, not sharpness.

Signal	WIS	Coverage	Beats baseline	Forecasts	Misses
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Canonical JSON: readings/forecast-ledger-latest.json. Method: NEW-METHODS.md.