China economic evidence · warming_up · as known 24 Aug 2026 · 10:34 UTC
Palimpsest abstains from a broad state-of-economy direction: current public coverage is uneven and no validated composite model has crossed the gate.
Readiness, not rhetoric
Coverage and revision history do not yet support a broad state-of-economy composite.
Economic evidence desk
Current activity coverage is a narrow state-release comparison, not a representative private-firm panel or a GDP substitute.
Not collected is not zero. The source backlog remains visible in the coverage matrix.
Economic evidence desk
Daily rates and exchange references describe funding and policy pricing; they do not measure the whole real economy.
official · current
1.44 %
The CFETS response supplies a data date but no release timestamp; the ledger conservatively records first observation as the release upper bound.
Open evidence receiptofficial · current
1.43 %
The CFETS response supplies a data date but no release timestamp; the ledger conservatively records first observation as the release upper bound.
Open evidence receiptofficial · current
1.4 %
The CFETS response supplies a data date but no release timestamp; the ledger conservatively records first observation as the release upper bound.
Open evidence receiptofficial · current
1.47 %
The CFETS response supplies a data date but no release timestamp; the ledger conservatively records first observation as the release upper bound.
Open evidence receiptofficial · current
1.45 %
The CFETS response supplies a data date but no release timestamp; the ledger conservatively records first observation as the release upper bound.
Open evidence receiptofficial · current
1.45 %
The CFETS response supplies a data date but no release timestamp; the ledger conservatively records first observation as the release upper bound.
Open evidence receiptofficial · current
1.4173 %
The CFETS response supplies a data date but no release timestamp; the ledger conservatively records first observation as the release upper bound.
Open evidence receiptofficial · current
1.4256 %
The CFETS response supplies a data date but no release timestamp; the ledger conservatively records first observation as the release upper bound.
Open evidence receiptofficial · current
1.48 %
The CFETS response supplies a data date but no release timestamp; the ledger conservatively records first observation as the release upper bound.
Open evidence receiptofficial · current
1.42 %
The CFETS response supplies a data date but no release timestamp; the ledger conservatively records first observation as the release upper bound.
Open evidence receiptofficial · current
1.43 %
The CFETS response supplies a data date but no release timestamp; the ledger conservatively records first observation as the release upper bound.
Open evidence receiptofficial · current
1.451 %
The CFETS response supplies a data date but no release timestamp; the ledger conservatively records first observation as the release upper bound.
Open evidence receiptofficial · current
1.47 %
The CFETS response supplies a data date but no release timestamp; the ledger conservatively records first observation as the release upper bound.
Open evidence receiptofficial · current
1.434 %
The CFETS response supplies a data date but no release timestamp; the ledger conservatively records first observation as the release upper bound.
Open evidence receiptofficial · current
6.7817 CNY per USD
The CFETS response supplies a data date but no release timestamp; the ledger conservatively records first observation as the release upper bound.
Open evidence receiptofficial · current
0.0015 CNY per USD
A null cross-check is not converted to zero and this value does not add an independent China source.
Open evidence receiptofficial · current
-0.9013%
The official fix and external reference are same-day but not simultaneous; the comparison is onshore and does not supply a license-clean CNH leg.
Open evidence receiptofficial · current
6.7817 CNY per USD
The official fix and external reference are same-day but not simultaneous; the comparison is onshore and does not supply a license-clean CNH leg.
Open evidence receiptofficial · current
6.7206 CNY per USD
The official fix and external reference are same-day but not simultaneous; the comparison is onshore and does not supply a license-clean CNH leg.
Open evidence receiptEconomic evidence desk
Stock Connect is one cross-border market channel. Northbound buy/sell direction is no longer published and is never estimated.
market · current
125.847 CNY billion
HKEX no longer publishes the northbound buy/sell split, so net flow is not inferred.
Open evidence receiptmarket · current
142.241 CNY billion
HKEX no longer publishes the northbound buy/sell split, so net flow is not inferred.
Open evidence receiptmarket · current
268.088 CNY billion
HKEX no longer publishes the northbound buy/sell split, so net flow is not inferred.
Open evidence receiptmarket · current
46.391 HKD billion
A market flow is not a direct measure of domestic output or investor nationality.
Open evidence receiptmarket · current
54.021 HKD billion
A market flow is not a direct measure of domestic output or investor nationality.
Open evidence receiptmarket · current
-7.63 HKD billion
A market flow is not a direct measure of domestic output or investor nationality.
Open evidence receiptEconomic evidence desk
Physical telemetry is currently sparse and mostly monthly; weather, sector mix, and administrative definitions can move it independently of output.
official · current
5.1%
This is an aggregate official release. It can diverge because of sector mix, base effects, and definitions; it is not a standalone output estimate.
Open evidence receiptEconomic evidence desk
No current comparable property, labor, and household-demand series has yet crossed the publication boundary; absence is not recorded as zero.
Not collected is not zero. The source backlog remains visible in the coverage matrix.
Economic evidence desk
Release delay is evidence of publication timing, not evidence of intent, fabrication, or the direction of the economy.
official · current
21.2%
A high ratio establishes late publication surfaces, not intent or data falsity.
Open evidence receiptCoverage matrix
Scroll horizontally to inspect every column.
| Domain | Status | Observed groups | Adapter-ready groups |
|---|---|---|---|
| activity | observed | nbs_official_statistics, nra_rail_statistics | gacc_trade_statistics, imf_portwatch_ais, mot_transport_statistics, nbs_enterprise_survey, nea_energy_statistics, pboc_enterprise_survey, sentinel5p_atmosphere, spb_postal_statistics, viirs_radiance |
| agriculture | adapter_ready | none | gacc_trade_statistics |
| commodities | observed | nbs_official_statistics | gacc_trade_statistics, imf_portwatch_ais, nea_energy_statistics, sentinel5p_atmosphere, viirs_radiance |
| consumer_digital | adapter_ready | none | nea_energy_statistics, spb_postal_statistics |
| credit | observed | cfets_benchmarks, hkex_market_flows, pboc_credit_statistics, pboc_open_market_operations, safe_external_statistics | pboc_credit_statistics, pboc_enterprise_survey, safe_external_statistics |
| firm_health | observed | nbs_official_statistics | nbs_enterprise_survey, nbs_housing_prices, pboc_credit_statistics, pboc_enterprise_survey |
| inflation | observed | cfets_benchmarks, external_fx_reference | nbs_housing_prices, pboc_enterprise_survey |
| investment | observed | hkex_market_flows, pboc_credit_statistics, safe_external_statistics | mot_transport_statistics, nbs_enterprise_survey, pboc_credit_statistics, pboc_enterprise_survey, safe_external_statistics, viirs_radiance |
| labor | adapter_ready | none | nbs_enterprise_survey, pboc_enterprise_survey |
| logistics | observed | nra_rail_statistics | gacc_trade_statistics, imf_portwatch_ais, mot_transport_statistics, sentinel5p_atmosphere, spb_postal_statistics, viirs_radiance |
| property | adapter_ready | none | nbs_housing_prices, viirs_radiance |
| trade | observed | external_fx_reference, nra_rail_statistics, safe_external_statistics | gacc_trade_statistics, imf_portwatch_ais, mot_transport_statistics, nbs_enterprise_survey, safe_external_statistics |