{ "schema_version": "palimpsest-news.v1", "feed_id": "palimpsest-china-newsroom", "title": "Palimpsest China Newsroom", "headline": "No current board-level analytic headline is available. 39 of 39 configured sources report; 25 are live. Health qualifiers: 4 degraded, 10 stale.", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/", "generated_at": "2026-08-24T10:34:36Z", "n_stories": 39, "source": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/osint-china-latest.json", "source_commit": "d42a2b4e0e94e078a54c97062214073d27d92eaf", "method": "Deterministic aggregate-only editorial transform of the osint-china.v1 roll-up; no signal payload rows or person-level data are copied into this feed.", "scope": "Aggregate China public-source measurements, methods and integrity updates, edited into evidence-linked stories with missing, stale and degraded sources kept explicit.", "coverage": { "total": 39, "reporting": 39, "live": 25, "status": "degraded", "counts": { "live": 25, "degraded": 4, "stale": 10, "missing": 0, "corrupt": 0 } }, "sections": [ { "id": "command", "title": "The Board", "dek": "What the observatory can support now, and which safeguards qualify the read.", "order": 1 }, { "id": "attention", "title": "Attention and Narrative", "dek": "Deletion directives, public attention and the measurable boundaries of silence.", "order": 2 }, { "id": "network", "title": "Network and Circumvention", "dek": "Independent views of interference, reachability, outages and demand for alternate routes.", "order": 3 }, { "id": "erasure", "title": "Erasure and Distribution", "dek": "Evidence of removal, mutation and uneven access across archives, repositories and storefronts.", "order": 4 }, { "id": "economy", "title": "Economic Undertext", "dek": "Official prints, independent cross-checks and the visibility of state economic data.", "order": 5 }, { "id": "models", "title": "Generative Firewall", "dek": "Controlled measurements of how models answer, refuse and repeat party-line framing.", "order": 6 }, { "id": "integrity", "title": "Integrity and Witnessing", "dek": "Cryptographic and external witnesses that make the public record independently checkable.", "order": 7 }, { "id": "nemesis", "title": "Intelligence Bridge", "dek": "Optional, sanitized aggregate leads from the private runtime, never treated as required coverage.", "order": 8 } ], "stories": [ { "id": "palimpsest-news:board-alarm", "slug": "board-alarm", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/board-alarm/", "signal_id": "board-alarm", "headline": "Board alarm: no current finding", "dek": "The source is stale. Palimpsest keeps the availability and evidence record visible without publishing retained values as current news.", "section": "command", "order": 1, "type": "analysis", "priority": "lead", "status": "stale", "published_at": "2026-08-24T06:38:00Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T06:38:00Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:c0788ccc78f46090c692b48e8a79ab4fe10aa4b662dd8568d548e79d718f59bb", "metric": { "label": null, "value": null, "unit": null, "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "availability", "statement": "No current finding is published for Board alarm because the source status is stale." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/board-alarm-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "board-alarm-latest.json", "sha256": "d88df12f13c3186c723cab50c0e97b23e1863fa87e0917e0a403087ea02dc4b1", "bytes": 10257 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T06:38:00Z" }, "method": { "summary": "per-signal two-sided conformal Shiryaev-Roberts e-detectors, except the model layer: refusal_churn is the v2 refusal suite's own anytime-valid mixture e-process over adjacent-run flip counts (one per model, calibrated on a burn-in, valid under unlimited peeking), panel-merged by arithmetic mean — a valid e-value at any stopping time, which is all the machinery below requires. e-BH (arXiv:2009.02824) at alpha=0.1 selects which signals are reported elevated, controlling FDR under arbitrary dependence; per-layer and board-wide e-values merged by arithmetic mean (arXiv:1912.06116), which is valid for dependent e-values; a layer counts as elevated at merged e >= 20, i.e. at most a 1-in-20 fluke, or when one of its signals alarmed within the last 12 readings", "version": null }, "limitations": [ "Current finding withheld: freshness deadline has passed", "A merged e-value measures evidence against no change; it does not identify a common cause for co-movement." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "event-flags", "coverage-guard", "vantage-fusion" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:event-flags", "slug": "event-flags", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/event-flags/", "signal_id": "event-flags", "headline": "12 of 15 configured signals are reporting to the event board", "dek": "The event layer keeps non-reporting and stale series visible instead of reading absence as calm.", "section": "command", "order": 2, "type": "methodology", "priority": "high", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-24T02:21:11Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T02:21:11Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:ebe72284a57b119cf89b9c7cb9a3dd5fcd449dc551505d91aa7e70c064c020f1", "metric": { "label": "signals reporting", "value": 12, "unit": "count", "denominator": { "label": "signals configured", "value": 15 } }, "claims": [ { "type": "observation", "statement": "12 signals are reporting out of 15 configured signals in the current event-flags reading." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/event-flags-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "event-flags-latest.json", "sha256": "34ecaa3de3bda70b77a2cd7d4908521e55b58671e4f46a057a5e66e127fbfa03", "bytes": 6344 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T02:21:11Z" }, "method": { "summary": "conformal e-detector per signal: one-sided conservative p-value (rank+1)/(n+1) against the signal's own past, epsilon-mixture bet over (0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.7, 0.8, 0.9) (an e-value under no change), Shiryaev-Roberts recursion R_t=(1+R_(t-1))*b(p_t), warmup 8; WATCH >= 100, ALARM >= 500; statistic and reference reset after alarm", "version": null }, "limitations": [ "Each detector is calibrated to its own history, so equal event values do not imply equal wall-clock rarity." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "board-alarm", "forecast-ledger", "coverage-guard" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:coverage-guard", "slug": "coverage-guard", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/coverage-guard/", "signal_id": "coverage-guard", "headline": "Coverage guard: no current finding", "dek": "The source is stale. Palimpsest keeps the availability and evidence record visible without publishing retained values as current news.", "section": "command", "order": 3, "type": "methodology", "priority": "high", "status": "stale", "published_at": "2026-08-24T06:38:00Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T06:38:00Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:39f118511a298751747f3024d160ea3930dc576f09ebe7c889af9111025dec45", "metric": { "label": null, "value": null, "unit": null, "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "availability", "statement": "No current finding is published for Coverage guard because the source status is stale." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/coverage-guard-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "coverage-guard-latest.json", "sha256": "94ddabab22d710823ebd216ab693bae01ac32c6647408f64964968c2b5b9752f", "bytes": 4327 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T06:38:00Z" }, "method": { "summary": "for each signal with a recorded sample size: robust (MAD) z of the metric and of its denominator, then least-squares metric ~ a + b*denominator over the reference readings and the latest residual scored against reference residuals. CONFIRMED when the departure survives conditioning (>= 0.5 of the raw z and >= 2); COVERAGE_CONFOUNDED when it does not; INCONCLUSIVE when the fit cannot support either call", "version": null }, "limitations": [ "Current finding withheld: freshness deadline has passed", "A coverage-confounded signal is inconclusive about substantive change, not evidence that no change occurred." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "board-alarm", "event-flags", "ddti" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:forecast-ledger", "slug": "forecast-ledger", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/forecast-ledger/", "signal_id": "forecast-ledger", "headline": "Forecast ledger: no current finding", "dek": "The source is stale. Palimpsest keeps the availability and evidence record visible without publishing retained values as current news.", "section": "command", "order": 4, "type": "methodology", "priority": "standard", "status": "stale", "published_at": "2026-08-24T06:38:00Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T06:38:00Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:3d05e6e1c36889daba17b7a08dc79976ddf8e0070f67af47905005a0edaf6d14", "metric": { "label": null, "value": null, "unit": null, "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "availability", "statement": "No current finding is published for Forecast ledger because the source status is stale." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/forecast-ledger-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "forecast-ledger-latest.json", "sha256": "2030c8ebae30c5a3e323354ff1d82c2d608a98fdc2b476a673508fe1e84daa24", "bytes": 13968 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T06:38:00Z" }, "method": { "summary": "strictly prequential (Dawid 1984): each reading is forecast from only its own past, never refit with hindsight. Point forecast = previous value (random walk). Band = adaptive conformal quantile of past absolute one-step changes, updated by alpha_{t+1} = alpha_t + gamma_t*(alpha - err_t) with decaying gamma (ACI, arXiv:2106.00170; decaying steps, arXiv:2402.01139), valid under arbitrary distribution shift. Scored by the Weighted Interval Score (arXiv:2005.12881), a proper rule, against the same forecast using a fixed quantile. Lower WIS is better.", "version": null }, "limitations": [ "Current finding withheld: freshness deadline has passed", "Calibration describes aggregate historical coverage and does not guarantee that any one next reading falls inside its band." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "event-flags", "cross-layer" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:cross-layer", "slug": "cross-layer-lead-lag", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/cross-layer-lead-lag/", "signal_id": "cross-layer", "headline": "Cross-layer lead and lag: no current finding", "dek": "The source is stale. Palimpsest keeps the availability and evidence record visible without publishing retained values as current news.", "section": "command", "order": 5, "type": "methodology", "priority": "background", "status": "stale", "published_at": "2026-08-24T06:38:00Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T06:38:00Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:0162a90bf58d9bdceca4a092ea7f87557c6256a92e07c12c2b7faa8a9e2f3cd1", "metric": { "label": null, "value": null, "unit": null, "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "availability", "statement": "No current finding is published for Cross-layer lead and lag because the source status is stale." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/cross-layer-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "cross-layer-latest.json", "sha256": "7da56b6ce0e0c139d347655d48c0678aeb8a43833fb0567531b882ea3d0163b5", "bytes": 10602 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T06:38:00Z" }, "method": { "summary": "each signal collapsed to a daily mean and DIFFERENCED (day-over-day change), then for every CROSS-layer pair the lag in [-7,7] days maximising |Pearson r|. Significance against a CIRCULAR-SHIFT null: one series is rotated against the other over every admissible offset (shifts within 7d of zero excluded), which preserves each series' own autocorrelation while destroying true alignment; p = (#{null >= observed}+1)/(n+1), exact and deterministic. Holm-Bonferroni step-down at alpha=0.05 across all pairs.", "version": 1 }, "limitations": [ "Current finding withheld: freshness deadline has passed", "Lead-lag association can establish temporal co-movement but cannot establish that one layer caused another." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "forecast-ledger", "board-alarm" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:ddti", "slug": "deletion-directive-term-index", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/deletion-directive-term-index/", "signal_id": "ddti", "headline": "The directive index now tracks 218 censorship terms", "dek": "The index ranks provenance-bound terms found in documented directives and reports of scrubbed material.", "section": "attention", "order": 1, "type": "measurement", "priority": "high", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-24T04:07:05Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T04:07:05Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:d0987fc00746e9a74f6e72747d73cde354a36d86275488f7ced4316f26e75d67", "metric": { "label": "terms ranked", "value": 218, "unit": "count", "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "finding", "statement": "The current deletion-directive index ranks 218 terms with documented censorship provenance." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/ddti-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "ddti-latest.json", "sha256": "39563b64c12df0bec07120b57c2204fa1320c42c4c47c1ecfee9f9566c6916d3", "bytes": 172274 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T04:07:05Z" }, "method": { "summary": "See the complete embedded upstream payload and its raw feed", "version": null }, "limitations": [ "The index reflects documented and collected directives; it is not a census of every censored term." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "gdelt", "weibo-hotsearch", "silence-index", "coverage-guard" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:gdelt", "slug": "global-coverage-cross-signal", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/global-coverage-cross-signal/", "signal_id": "gdelt", "headline": "Global coverage is measurable for 3 of 25 compared terms", "dek": "The cross-signal supplies an outside-China attention baseline without treating a missing result as proof of silence.", "section": "attention", "order": 2, "type": "measurement", "priority": "standard", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-24T02:17:50Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T02:17:50Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:a462c8969effbb856d92d73dfa544024cb463503e28396b62cb934eaf4d759d6", "metric": { "label": "terms with global data", "value": 3, "unit": "count", "denominator": { "label": "terms compared", "value": 25 } }, "claims": [ { "type": "finding", "statement": "GDELT returned usable global coverage for 3 of 25 compared terms." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/gdelt-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "gdelt-latest.json", "sha256": "4f82743337b6cc9387aedd8a2af536719c1db798be9a349b92c39cc09fe84909", "bytes": 6779 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T02:17:50Z" }, "method": { "summary": "See the complete embedded upstream payload and its raw feed", "version": 1 }, "limitations": [ "GDELT coverage varies by language and publisher; absence from its index is not proof that a topic received no coverage." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "ddti", "silence-index", "weibo-hotsearch" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:weibo-hotsearch", "slug": "weibo-hot-search-join", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/weibo-hot-search-join/", "signal_id": "weibo-hotsearch", "headline": "Weibo hot-search join: no current finding", "dek": "The source is stale. Palimpsest keeps the availability and evidence record visible without publishing retained values as current news.", "section": "attention", "order": 3, "type": "measurement", "priority": "high", "status": "stale", "published_at": "2026-08-24T05:55:38Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T05:55:38Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:fbbd796714a27d8701bf89d250b4dc110fa7b57d5d236815f0693f5547448d69", "metric": { "label": null, "value": null, "unit": null, "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "availability", "statement": "No current finding is published for Weibo hot-search join because the source status is stale." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/weibo-hotsearch-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "weibo-hotsearch-latest.json", "sha256": "f9b53db318e428417e9042c79146f958b3d35aa97c5c017eb1d74eb691cfc9d1", "bytes": 40195 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T05:55:38Z" }, "method": { "summary": "The hot-search board is itself a censored surface (curated top slot, on-command withdrawals), so it is read here as the record of PERMITTED attention, never as neutral volume. A DDTI term under deletion pressure that also trends is CONTAINED_VISIBLE (pruned, not hidden); one absent from the board while hot in the deletion stream is SUPPRESSED_INVISIBLE (deleted AND denied attention) — the content-layer sibling of the Silence Index. attention_ratio is threat share over permitted-attention share, published with both parts.", "version": 2 }, "limitations": [ "Current finding withheld: freshness deadline has passed", "The hot-search board is a curated and censored surface, so it is only a proxy for domestic attention." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "ddti", "gdelt", "silence-index" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:silence-index", "slug": "silence-index", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/silence-index/", "signal_id": "silence-index", "headline": "Silence index: no current finding", "dek": "The source is stale. Palimpsest keeps the availability and evidence record visible without publishing retained values as current news.", "section": "attention", "order": 4, "type": "analysis", "priority": "high", "status": "stale", "published_at": "2026-08-24T06:04:23Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T06:04:23Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:dd0cef3624285bdb741fadf4ad138ac30cc90a95d271c28721e470c25febbfee", "metric": { "label": null, "value": null, "unit": null, "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "availability", "statement": "No current finding is published for Silence index because the source status is stale." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/silence-index-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "silence-index-latest.json", "sha256": "dd14507946d943cbe74123145c5e5ea8a1fb940bbcd815530a29ca83981de586", "bytes": 6674 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T06:04:23Z" }, "method": { "summary": "pre-emptive silence: topics loud abroad and gone at home, the censorship that leaves no deletion to count. Guard rails are the processor's, not this runner's: no China nexus -> out_of_scope; missing global or domestic input -> abstain; and with no coupling baseline wired (v1), a topic without gazetteer corroboration abstains rather than scores — a topic China never covered being quiet at home is disinterest, not suppression. An abstention is published as an abstention, never as a zero. DDTI terms carry china_nexus by provenance: they are drawn from the censor's own deletion stream, so this runner sets the nexus flag at source and the processor's per-term gazetteer gate is deliberately bypassed for them (it still guards any non-DDTI deployment). A blind round (nothing scored) records null blackout counts in both the latest reading and the history, never zeros", "version": 1 }, "limitations": [ "Current finding withheld: freshness deadline has passed", "Domestic absence can reflect disinterest or incomplete proxy coverage; topics without required corroboration abstain." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "ddti", "gdelt", "weibo-hotsearch" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:blocklist", "slug": "platform-blocklist-archaeology", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/platform-blocklist-archaeology/", "signal_id": "blocklist", "headline": "Attributable blocklist versions added 503 keywords", "dek": "Version-to-version diffs preserve provenance and decoding gaps instead of flattening client blocklists into one count.", "section": "attention", "order": 5, "type": "measurement", "priority": "standard", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-24T05:07:24Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T05:07:24Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:7682a248d56bf9a9091373bd04d1febf194263e78702bcd23752c304c706993c", "metric": { "label": "keyword additions", "value": 503, "unit": "count", "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "finding", "statement": "The compared attributable client blocklists contain 503 keyword additions." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/blocklist-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "blocklist-latest.json", "sha256": "44808b997d27f5f04027066afbe0bf174faf3404737a97d1fed4389508dab267", "bytes": 8594 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T05:07:24Z" }, "method": { "summary": "See the complete embedded upstream payload and its raw feed", "version": 1 }, "limitations": [ "Available client versions and successful decoding bound the observed additions; the result is not a platform-wide census." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "ddti", "net4people" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:net4people", "slug": "community-blocking-log", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/community-blocking-log/", "signal_id": "net4people", "headline": "The community log records 11 recent blocking or circumvention events", "dek": "Public issue reports add qualitative context to instrumented network measurements without being counted as probes.", "section": "attention", "order": 6, "type": "measurement", "priority": "standard", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-24T02:10:22Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T02:10:22Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:e8e3ad3576c9ab05ff777018f8b1f2ea2c62b7a0caef5c54a824db08149766b7", "metric": { "label": "recent events", "value": 11, "unit": "count", "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "finding", "statement": "The configured recent window contains 11 qualifying events in the public community log." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/net4people-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "net4people-latest.json", "sha256": "bb83afe9ca40e1a8b833248d852f2d473231aa048103f790b465ef3eab14486d", "bytes": 7757 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T02:10:22Z" }, "method": { "summary": "ingests a public overseas GitHub repo's issues; probes nothing (vantage-insensitive)", "version": 1 }, "limitations": [ "Community reports are self-selected qualitative observations and do not estimate population prevalence." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "ooni-gfw", "circumvention-demand", "vantage-fusion" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:public-deletion-ledgers", "slug": "public-deletion-ledgers", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/public-deletion-ledgers/", "signal_id": "public-deletion-ledgers", "headline": "Public deletion ledgers: no current finding", "dek": "The source is stale. Palimpsest keeps the availability and evidence record visible without publishing retained values as current news.", "section": "attention", "order": 7, "type": "measurement", "priority": "standard", "status": "stale", "published_at": "2026-08-23T23:08:00Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-23T23:08:00Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:670f74d33c22e664b9cd74d929b665cb479d28b318998ead2d8cb1ecc78c1429", "metric": { "label": null, "value": null, "unit": null, "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "availability", "statement": "No current finding is published for Public deletion ledgers because the source status is stale." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/public-deletion-ledgers-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "public-deletion-ledgers-latest.json", "sha256": "90f2c637c54919d7bd9bc3d62ed4ad701570c1bb1eac4b0d70355795d1bf08a8", "bytes": 65782 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-23T23:08:00Z" }, "method": { "summary": "Keyless RSS/Atom ingest through collectors.feed_parse.parse_feed_items and core.safe_fetch; each feed is a candidate and reports its own reachability.", "version": 1 }, "limitations": [ "Current finding withheld: freshness deadline has passed", "A missing ledger file is an abstention, not proof that nothing was deleted. Reachability of a public RSS feed is not a census of Chinese-language deletions." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "ddti", "undertext", "wayback" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:undertext", "slug": "undertext-differential-fusion", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/undertext-differential-fusion/", "signal_id": "undertext", "headline": "UNDERTEXT fuses 7,310 public observations across archive and board readings", "dek": "The fusion remaps already-published Wayback, Weibo-board and DDTI records onto one observation schema without inventing a live deletion round.", "section": "attention", "order": 8, "type": "analysis", "priority": "high", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-24T05:55:38Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T05:55:38Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:40efbdbec064b46d4e23aa15b373d2e759b05db33509b23e572926c533c93791", "metric": { "label": "observations", "value": 7310, "unit": "count", "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "finding", "statement": "The current fusion contains 7,310 observations reconstructed from committed public readings." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/undertext-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "undertext-latest.json", "sha256": "66124cddff360b13bc0bdd71d44b9642844cb9588b3d23bffdd929a6773464da", "bytes": 30742872 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T05:55:38Z" }, "method": { "summary": "Offline fusion of every committed sample/reconstruction through china_observation.enrich_observation, URL clustering, and honest cross-signal joins. A matching URL/host/digest on the existing node lake attaches a sanitized receipt; an empty or absent lake abstains. Optional live surfaces require UNDERTEXT_LIVE_SURFACES=1 and an injected or operator fetch.", "version": 1 }, "limitations": [ "Fusion inherits the limits of its inputs; archive-status rows are not relabelled as deletions, and optional Wikipedia live surfaces stay gated." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "wayback", "weibo-hotsearch", "ddti" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:research-corpus", "slug": "research-corpus-metadata", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/research-corpus-metadata/", "signal_id": "research-corpus", "headline": "The research-corpus ledger tracks 5 allowlisted public repositories", "dek": "Only Git ref advertisements and default-branch cursors are published; notice bodies, keyword lists and routing rules stay unpublished.", "section": "attention", "order": 9, "type": "measurement", "priority": "standard", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-24T02:11:10Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T02:11:10Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:345b93d79499a4021b7eebdb2d6eaf0b76660096844feb54e0083bf224c4f2e7", "metric": { "label": "sources", "value": 5, "unit": "count", "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "finding", "statement": "The current metadata-only ledger covers 5 allowlisted research repositories." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/research-corpus-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "research-corpus-latest.json", "sha256": "6ce2fea34433fbd756039a201a7dbf6dfd2c4ea8bf84f1e432294f08d09858c7", "bytes": 7055 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T02:11:10Z" }, "method": { "summary": "one bounded keyless Git smart-HTTP ref advertisement per source; exact default-branch cursor plus aggregate ref-count deltas", "version": 1 }, "limitations": [ "A commit cursor change is not a claim about why the repository moved, and unpublished notice bodies cannot be inferred from the metadata." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "github-refuge", "wayback" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:peer-context", "slug": "attributed-peer-context", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/attributed-peer-context/", "signal_id": "peer-context", "headline": "Peer-context joins 22 already-held Palimpsest hosts", "dek": "GreatFire, OONI, bounded CDT excerpts, and a Weiboscope abstention stay named as peer context. They never become Palimpsest capture.", "section": "attention", "order": 10, "type": "analysis", "priority": "background", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-24T06:48:00Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T06:48:00Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:4ad2189f6a73c2e91d5a4aa849cacc012e14b13b6511a2c5938d16753ac23c8a", "metric": { "label": "hosts joined", "value": 22, "unit": "count", "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "observation", "statement": "The current peer-context warehouse joins 22 already-held hosts." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/peer-context-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "peer-context-latest.json", "sha256": "dc6853ccb7317dbcea98de4f536f043af344958fd06504326379d22c31f82d25", "bytes": 80880 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T06:48:00Z" }, "method": { "summary": "GreatFire lookups are cached by the greatfire-context job. OONI is an exact host join against already-held ooni-gfw-latest / ooni-bulk warehouse objects. CDT keeps titles, links, and excerpts bounded at 280 characters. Weiboscope is a documented abstention.", "version": 1 }, "limitations": [ "Peer rows name GreatFire, OONI, CDT, or Weiboscope and the date of that peer's verdict. They do not share Palimpsest's denominator." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "greatfire-context", "ooni-gfw", "public-deletion-ledgers" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:ooni-gfw", "slug": "ooni-great-firewall-index", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/ooni-great-firewall-index/", "signal_id": "ooni-gfw", "headline": "OONI's China anomaly index is 58.3% across 272,935 completed measurements", "dek": "The index aggregates volunteer-probe observations across network test families inside China.", "section": "network", "order": 1, "type": "measurement", "priority": "lead", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-24T02:00:59Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T02:00:59Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:44944031bae0d9d60f823f2820837339c9e9bf672928879a929549e059409208", "metric": { "label": "GFW anomaly index", "value": 58.3, "unit": "percent", "denominator": { "label": "completed measurements", "value": 272935 } }, "claims": [ { "type": "finding", "statement": "The current OONI aggregate reports a 58.3% anomaly index across 272,935 completed China measurements." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/ooni-gfw-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "ooni-gfw-latest.json", "sha256": "90accfb51b97976a774e922f9874ab3af2d4fe9a81b934354dfa714981bf1009", "bytes": 7989 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T02:00:59Z" }, "method": { "summary": "side-channel: we ingest OONI's already-aggregated open data; gfw_index is anomalous completed measurements divided by all completed measurements; we never probe a censored resource ourselves (vantage-insensitive)", "version": 2 }, "limitations": [ "Volunteer-probe coverage is uneven across place, network and test family; anomalies are not all attributable to censorship." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "in-path-interference", "censored-planet", "inside-view", "vantage-fusion" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:in-path-interference", "slug": "in-path-interference", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/in-path-interference/", "signal_id": "in-path-interference", "headline": "Middlebox signatures register at 1.37% in the current OONI window", "dek": "The decomposition separates interference signatures from transport failure and tests that could not execute.", "section": "network", "order": 2, "type": "measurement", "priority": "high", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-24T02:07:57Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T02:07:57Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:227418982e245e7a78004b5b24928623c16facb96c027689f4037726110a100c", "metric": { "label": "middlebox index", "value": 1.37, "unit": "percent", "denominator": { "label": "completed middlebox tests", "value": 9283 } }, "claims": [ { "type": "finding", "statement": "The current measurement-weighted middlebox index is 1.37%." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/in-path-interference-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "in-path-interference-latest.json", "sha256": "b2eba327467c6e780d015440bd7d26a5c5f1814fdb4efade486125003e323592", "bytes": 4264 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T02:07:57Z" }, "method": { "summary": "rates are computed over COMPLETED tests only (measurement_count - failure_count). OONI's anomaly counter ranges only over completed runs, so a test that never completes has no anomaly rate — it has an execution-failure rate, reported separately", "version": 1 }, "limitations": [ "The index is a weighted aggregate over reporting tests; transport failure and execution blackout remain separate categories." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "ooni-gfw", "inside-view", "vantage-fusion" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:censored-planet", "slug": "censored-planet-china-interference", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/censored-planet-china-interference/", "signal_id": "censored-planet", "headline": "Independent remote scans put China's interference rate at 4.27%", "dek": "Censored Planet supplies an outside-in method that is independent of OONI's in-country volunteer probes.", "section": "network", "order": 3, "type": "measurement", "priority": "high", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-24T06:07:17Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T06:07:17Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:b83ff60b8826f7545695eca3d2a336d4a63b210352364eb1e02c12dbe6b5e8c5", "metric": { "label": "CN interference rate", "value": 4.27, "unit": "percent", "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "finding", "statement": "Censored Planet's current remote side-channel measurement reports a 4.27% China interference rate." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/censored-planet-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "censored-planet-latest.json", "sha256": "5c9668b533fafd21f294ab71794b93a3a51957a3bb048e8b1259137034f070da", "bytes": 3370 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T06:07:17Z" }, "method": { "summary": "ingests Censored Planet's public aggregated data; probes nothing (vantage-insensitive)", "version": 1 }, "limitations": [ "The remote-scan denominator and method differ from OONI's anomaly index, so their percentages are not interchangeable." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "ooni-gfw", "inside-view", "vantage-fusion" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:inside-view", "slug": "inside-china-view", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/inside-china-view/", "signal_id": "inside-view", "headline": "100% of the 5-domain mainland panel is blocked", "dek": "Volunteer probes inside China are compared with a same-round external control before an answer is classified.", "section": "network", "order": 4, "type": "measurement", "priority": "lead", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-24T02:10:02Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T02:10:02Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:d48ade77197e25f0336a2866be2369e510a7c470176ee26b48b772e03d76ba4c", "metric": { "label": "blocked share", "value": 1.0, "unit": "ratio", "denominator": { "label": "qualifying answered measurement domains", "value": 5 } }, "claims": [ { "type": "finding", "statement": "The current controlled panel reports 100% blocked responses across 5 tested domains." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/inside-view-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "inside-view-latest.json", "sha256": "9fe7b2157fc21a8b26214153b614b0c01fe9f8b5e9839f45e753aa6546831291", "bytes": 70974 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T02:10:02Z" }, "method": { "summary": "a CN answer is forged when it shares no address with the control arm's answer set; no forged-IP list is hardcoded, because the injector pool rotates", "version": 2 }, "limitations": [ "The volunteer panel is small and availability varies by region; it does not represent every mainland network." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "ooni-gfw", "in-path-interference", "censored-planet", "vantage-fusion" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:ioda-outages", "slug": "ioda-china-outage-monitor", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/ioda-china-outage-monitor/", "signal_id": "ioda-outages", "headline": "0 independent IODA instruments are firing for China", "dek": "BGP, active-probing and darknet instruments provide a country-scale outage check distinct from content blocking.", "section": "network", "order": 5, "type": "measurement", "priority": "high", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-24T02:04:27Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T02:04:27Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:d11298f4540771d4f8f5b0489d93b613a353431d3c905c97f68eaca532a53560", "metric": { "label": "instruments firing", "value": 0, "unit": "count", "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "observation", "statement": "The current IODA country reading has 0 outage instruments firing." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/ioda-outages-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "ioda-outages-latest.json", "sha256": "274665b1fe0b531bcb76673f1c9f5aaba86ffcc51445305d527d88839a0fa244", "bytes": 668 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T02:04:27Z" }, "method": { "summary": "Shutdown-scale connectivity events, detected from outside China by three independent global instruments. Each event names the instrument that saw it; a single-instrument event is a candidate, multi-instrument corroboration is the strong read. The conformal signal is the per-day count of event STARTS.", "version": 1 }, "limitations": [ "No firing instrument means no detected country-scale outage in this window, not proof that all local networks were reachable." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "ooni-gfw", "vantage-fusion" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:circumvention-demand", "slug": "circumvention-demand", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/circumvention-demand/", "signal_id": "circumvention-demand", "headline": "Tor Metrics estimates 2,661 bridge users connecting from China", "dek": "Bridge and transport estimates show demand for alternate routes without identifying individual users.", "section": "network", "order": 6, "type": "measurement", "priority": "standard", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-24T05:52:26Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T05:52:26Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:181f05759db24d99620dd8493f9fc5131c265588354321538ff7f5f90868247f", "metric": { "label": "bridge users", "value": 2661, "unit": "estimated users", "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "finding", "statement": "Tor Metrics estimates 2,661 bridge users for China in the current reading." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/circumvention-demand-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "circumvention-demand-latest.json", "sha256": "b539f7365fc6d27eca51538f3000278d59ace4e9a81d78a7f0e8479a34fdb9dd", "bytes": 1077 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T05:52:26Z" }, "method": { "summary": "Bridge users = demand for unlisted entry points (the demand-to-circumvent series). Relay users = direct reachability, structurally near-floor behind the GFW. A transport halving while another surges (transport_shifts) is the public fingerprint of a new GFW classifier deployment. Estimates are Tor's, from sampled directory requests; transport rows keep Tor's low/high bounds. No probe traffic is generated by this collector.", "version": 1 }, "limitations": [ "Bridge-user values are privacy-preserving estimates and should not be read as exact people or devices." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "net4people", "ooni-gfw", "vantage-fusion" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:vantage-fusion", "slug": "network-vantage-fusion", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/network-vantage-fusion/", "signal_id": "vantage-fusion", "headline": "Reporting network vantages combine to a 28.6% interference index", "dek": "The fusion names excluded and divergent inputs instead of silently averaging away disagreement.", "section": "network", "order": 7, "type": "analysis", "priority": "lead", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-24T02:27:09Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T02:27:09Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:a3f3ce46c954a1c1cbd2ba71d93a0a3971e40d75bc46ab539827431d3ad058dc", "metric": { "label": "fused network index", "value": 28.6, "unit": "percent", "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "finding", "statement": "The current coverage-weighted fusion of reporting vantages is 28.6%." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/vantage-fusion-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "vantage-fusion-latest.json", "sha256": "9fb06968248eb124c92f21306f1db07a05fa41d4e596433c5ffde2743fb56a6b", "bytes": 2094 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T02:27:09Z" }, "method": { "summary": "coverage-weighted mean of vantages normalized to 0-100 (Censored Planet remote interference rate, OONI in-country anomaly index); agreement = 1 − |OONI − CP| / 60pp; CONTESTED when the two differ > 20pp; net4people blocking-event share adjusts confidence only.", "version": 1 }, "limitations": [ "The fused index summarizes differently sampled methods and is not a direct percentage of China's internet traffic." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "ooni-gfw", "censored-planet", "inside-view", "net4people" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:bleedthrough", "slug": "bleedthrough-injector-tomography", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/bleedthrough-injector-tomography/", "signal_id": "bleedthrough", "headline": "Bleedthrough injector tomography: no current finding", "dek": "The source is stale. Palimpsest keeps the availability and evidence record visible without publishing retained values as current news.", "section": "network", "order": 8, "type": "measurement", "priority": "background", "status": "stale", "published_at": "2026-08-23T00:57:39Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-23T00:57:39Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:491da606cfd905f6d8d7e1debefc95cfd3be2cee2d7bd824cb5358109324b168", "metric": { "label": null, "value": null, "unit": null, "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "availability", "statement": "No current finding is published for Bleedthrough injector tomography because the source status is stale." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/bleedthrough-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "bleedthrough-latest.json", "sha256": "33d75dc7364ae206bbd4ad14ae0df84a5ab3c6e30d895a6283ca16364f64e893", "bytes": 2781 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-23T00:57:39Z" }, "method": { "summary": "the censor as sensor — benign stateless UDP DNS probes provoke the GFW's own injectors to answer; we fingerprint the fleet from the forgeries. Transport this round: direct injection over dark IPs + open-resolver fallback. Direct receive windows overlap; outbound sends remain rate-capped. Injector count is a FLOOR, not a census: each injector answers a given query at most once, so a silent injector is undercounted.", "version": 3 }, "limitations": [ "Current finding withheld: freshness deadline has passed", "This optional active-probe layer is deployment-controlled; absence must never be converted into a zero or calm reading." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "in-path-interference", "vantage-fusion" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:greatfire-context", "slug": "greatfire-attributed-verdicts", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/greatfire-attributed-verdicts/", "signal_id": "greatfire-context", "headline": "GreatFire's cache holds 22 90-day verdicts for already-held Palimpsest URLs", "dek": "The GreatFire Analyzer open API is credited by name and date. Palimpsest is not the origin of these measurements and does not crawl the catalog.", "section": "network", "order": 9, "type": "measurement", "priority": "background", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-24T06:33:11Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T06:33:11Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:9f4d966f0ea9513d567dd2554e6c82b60cd55d4659c039132bff9b582fdf349e", "metric": { "label": "GreatFire verdicts", "value": 22, "unit": "count", "denominator": { "label": "URLs queried", "value": 55 } }, "claims": [ { "type": "observation", "statement": "The current GreatFire context cache contains 22 compact 90-day verdicts." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/greatfire-context-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "greatfire-context-latest.json", "sha256": "4d5715dd5101d63103cee737aead33677ea8f1d09b1d4ba13ae3da7b02b6836d", "bytes": 62277 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T06:33:11Z" }, "method": { "summary": "Keyless /api/url/ and /api/verdict lookups for already-held Palimpsest URLs. Per-test history discarded. Not a 700k catalog crawl.", "version": 1 }, "limitations": [ "A GreatFire verdict is that project's dated measurement, not Palimpsest capture, and it does not prove Party motive." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "ooni-gfw", "peer-context", "public-deletion-ledgers" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:erasure-observatory", "slug": "erasure-observatory", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/erasure-observatory/", "signal_id": "erasure-observatory", "headline": "The composite erasure index stands at 41.6", "dek": "The roll-up keeps archive, redaction, repository and distribution evidence separate beneath one directional index.", "section": "erasure", "order": 1, "type": "analysis", "priority": "lead", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-24T06:31:11Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T06:31:11Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:a344100979c1bc4d2995f6562da667d996bcfbcea041791eea312eab1d6580ac", "metric": { "label": "erasure index", "value": 41.6, "unit": "index", "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "finding", "statement": "The current cross-layer erasure index is 41.6." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/erasure-observatory-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "erasure-observatory-latest.json", "sha256": "c3bb372cc4d6bff859ff39f73ade3a53dc95909b13894b75ed5f5504b1b45622", "bytes": 3917 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T06:31:11Z" }, "method": { "summary": "See the complete embedded upstream payload and its raw feed", "version": 4 }, "limitations": [ "The index combines heterogeneous erasure layers and indicates co-movement, not a count of deleted items." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "wayback", "baike-redaction", "github-refuge", "app-storefront", "apple-censorship" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:wayback", "slug": "wayback-reconstruction", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/wayback-reconstruction/", "signal_id": "wayback", "headline": "Archive witnesses reconstruct 2 deletions across 21 watched URLs", "dek": "A deletion or silent mutation is reported only when outside-the-wall captures provide a checkable witness.", "section": "erasure", "order": 2, "type": "measurement", "priority": "high", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-24T02:10:39Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T02:10:39Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:a087a77874a7b2dbf8743878bb6fac4fc1cd44d244390cfbfe7313f332a5af25", "metric": { "label": "reconstructed deletions", "value": 2, "unit": "count", "denominator": { "label": "URLs watched", "value": 21 } }, "claims": [ { "type": "finding", "statement": "Wayback evidence reconstructs 2 deletions among 21 watched URLs in the current reading." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/wayback-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "wayback-latest.json", "sha256": "a5bd02912cc7be9887fd9f78a651c6724ac86f6448e0f9222b67de05613527e6", "bytes": 23853271 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T02:10:39Z" }, "method": { "summary": "See the complete embedded upstream payload and its raw feed", "version": 1 }, "limitations": [ "Archive coverage is incomplete; an unwitnessed URL cannot support a deletion or mutation claim." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "erasure-observatory", "baike-redaction", "anchors" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:baike-redaction", "slug": "baike-redaction", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/baike-redaction/", "signal_id": "baike-redaction", "headline": "Baike redaction: no current finding", "dek": "The source is degraded. Palimpsest keeps the availability and evidence record visible without publishing retained values as current news.", "section": "erasure", "order": 3, "type": "measurement", "priority": "background", "status": "degraded", "published_at": "2026-07-30T20:31:16Z", "modified_at": "2026-07-30T20:31:16Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:45290c3fc34242b7728a8985ce32e037e068894d6425e1516d0bc01c90d56036", "metric": { "label": null, "value": null, "unit": null, "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "availability", "statement": "No current finding is published for Baike redaction because the source status is degraded." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/baike-redaction-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "baike-redaction-latest.json", "sha256": "03a16c2106036a06f5878798b2a36483c0d8b8468c13e4cfc673f1c0fac0e12e", "bytes": 4205 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-07-30T20:31:16Z" }, "method": { "summary": "offline fixture analysis; live Baike collection disabled pending authorized access; lexical, auditable judgement with no authenticated revision-history access", "version": 3 }, "limitations": [ "Current finding withheld: optional collector is disabled pending authorized access; no current Baike measurement is claimed", "Without authorized live revision history, lexical comparisons cannot identify when or by whom text changed." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "wayback", "erasure-observatory" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:github-refuge", "slug": "github-refuge-watch", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/github-refuge-watch/", "signal_id": "github-refuge", "headline": "Public metadata records 1 pressure event across 7 watched repositories", "dek": "The watch preserves public repository-level pressure signals without collecting contributor identities.", "section": "erasure", "order": 4, "type": "measurement", "priority": "standard", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-24T02:10:18Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T02:10:18Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:37d96190b31fb48e06be8d5cf1f000aada165a2a2529f16d8c84de1939181b24", "metric": { "label": "pressure events", "value": 1, "unit": "count", "denominator": { "label": "repositories watched", "value": 7 } }, "claims": [ { "type": "finding", "statement": "The current public-metadata watch records 1 pressure event among 7 configured repositories." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/github-refuge-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "github-refuge-latest.json", "sha256": "5c3b67d1e0c5bc8b131bbda772797975668b53f76aa64c6fcc6d2adb24946e77", "bytes": 21708 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T02:10:18Z" }, "method": { "summary": "See the complete embedded upstream payload and its raw feed", "version": 1 }, "limitations": [ "Repository metadata can show public pressure or disappearance but cannot establish the actor or motive behind a change." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "erasure-observatory", "wayback", "anchors" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:app-storefront", "slug": "app-storefront-panel", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/app-storefront-panel/", "signal_id": "app-storefront", "headline": "60% of the 10-app panel is unavailable in China's storefront", "dek": "The fixed panel compares China and US storefront results in the same round, with transient lookup failures separated.", "section": "erasure", "order": 5, "type": "measurement", "priority": "high", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-24T02:13:36Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T02:13:36Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:9f931cb4bc4e94265c2edaf659cc8bf95fba045fafb1bf0ecf77a55d256fd1a3", "metric": { "label": "delisting rate", "value": 0.6, "unit": "ratio", "denominator": { "label": "apps tracked", "value": 10 } }, "claims": [ { "type": "finding", "statement": "The current panel finds 60% of 10 tracked apps unavailable in the China storefront." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/app-storefront-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "app-storefront-latest.json", "sha256": "901254f8220d2c9ddea70d229be60dffb3bd3cab5bbbb3518119f918120e7ba0", "bytes": 3519 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T02:13:36Z" }, "method": { "summary": "See the complete embedded upstream payload and its raw feed", "version": 1 }, "limitations": [ "A fixed app panel is transparent but not representative of the entire App Store catalogue." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "apple-censorship", "erasure-observatory" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:apple-censorship", "slug": "apple-censorship-corpus", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/apple-censorship-corpus/", "signal_id": "apple-censorship", "headline": "28.13% of 110,432 tested apps are unavailable in mainland China", "dek": "The corpus-scale storefront comparison complements the smaller fixed panel with a much broader catalogue.", "section": "erasure", "order": 6, "type": "measurement", "priority": "high", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-24T06:06:32Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T06:06:32Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:7c2b60416e2123d5c0ea1d4b3348c1fe4400e2d6c342a08c2f50bff324f6fc90", "metric": { "label": "apps unavailable", "value": 28.13, "unit": "percent", "denominator": { "label": "apps tested", "value": 110432 } }, "claims": [ { "type": "finding", "statement": "The current AppleCensorship corpus reports 28.13% unavailable among 110,432 tested apps for mainland China." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/apple-censorship-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "apple-censorship-latest.json", "sha256": "5967cfb9da07bcd3996168364d7e5e3f106a4611a965970535490d50942a568f", "bytes": 1910 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T06:06:32Z" }, "method": { "summary": "See the complete embedded upstream payload and its raw feed", "version": 1 }, "limitations": [ "Storefront unavailability can have policy, licensing, commercial or technical causes; the percentage alone does not identify cause." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "app-storefront", "erasure-observatory" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:baike-public-snapshot", "slug": "baike-public-snapshot", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/baike-public-snapshot/", "signal_id": "baike-public-snapshot", "headline": "Baike public snapshot: no current finding", "dek": "The source is degraded. Palimpsest keeps the availability and evidence record visible without publishing retained values as current news.", "section": "erasure", "order": 7, "type": "measurement", "priority": "background", "status": "degraded", "published_at": "2026-08-24T04:52:24Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T04:52:24Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:65a2c83079a606d40c89f337c76e5d50dd5e303d7c5bf4c90253d87ff988be91", "metric": { "label": null, "value": null, "unit": null, "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "availability", "statement": "No current finding is published for Baike public snapshot because the source status is degraded." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/baike-public-snapshot-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "baike-public-snapshot-latest.json", "sha256": "852b87743428b9e543b9e22d795e6e25316c398f821b01292d8b27a69dd67ecf", "bytes": 3376 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T04:52:24Z" }, "method": { "summary": "Keyless GET of reviewed public Baike article URLs; extract_baike facets; hash comparison against node-local state; CDX digest attached when IA answers.", "version": 1 }, "limitations": [ "Current finding withheld: upstream status is unreachable; collector status is source_refused", "A refused fetch is evidence about this vantage reaching Baike, not a count of encyclopedia rewrites." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "baike-redaction", "wayback", "erasure-observatory" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:china-econ", "slug": "china-money-market-benchmarks", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/china-money-market-benchmarks/", "signal_id": "china-econ", "headline": "China money-market benchmarks: no current finding", "dek": "The source is stale. Palimpsest keeps the availability and evidence record visible without publishing retained values as current news.", "section": "economy", "order": 1, "type": "measurement", "priority": "standard", "status": "stale", "published_at": "2026-08-23T01:47:39Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-23T01:47:39Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:1d91487d1aeb7b0e73f9ee6c5b3a260275fc73cc426a0f287505c815d68b3de1", "metric": { "label": null, "value": null, "unit": null, "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "availability", "statement": "No current finding is published for China money-market benchmarks because the source status is stale." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/china-econ-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "china-econ-latest.json", "sha256": "e3ac508c1fee7acedfe03405f9cd757957b99ec4ad9227be8edea28aac3aa579", "bytes": 739 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-23T01:47:39Z" }, "method": { "summary": "See the complete embedded upstream payload and its raw feed", "version": 3 }, "limitations": [ "Current finding withheld: freshness deadline has passed", "Official benchmark levels are state-published inputs; interpreting policy requires relationships and history, not one level." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "cny-fix-gap", "stock-connect", "data-darkness", "believability" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:cny-fix-gap", "slug": "cny-fix-gap", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/cny-fix-gap/", "signal_id": "cny-fix-gap", "headline": "The official yuan fix gap is -0.9013% against the independent reference", "dek": "The daily comparison sets the PBOC parity against same-day external reference rates and publishes cross-check disagreement.", "section": "economy", "order": 2, "type": "measurement", "priority": "high", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-23T17:27:00Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-23T17:27:00Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:70bfee414ed98ef560e5da15029480291d1ba91a9530a3f18d491e71e9d3a5b4", "metric": { "label": "fix gap", "value": -0.9013, "unit": "percent", "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "finding", "statement": "The current official-fix minus independent-reference gap is -0.9013%." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/cny-fix-gap-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "cny-fix-gap-latest.json", "sha256": "8a2114ec59b319bf7bcced76520f59786e4cff226af29854f4f2bf719f1123b8", "bytes": 1434 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-23T17:27:00Z" }, "method": { "summary": "two prices for one currency: the state's 09:15 Beijing fix vs an independent same-day market reference (ECB concertation, 14:15 CET = 20:15 Beijing). gap_pct > 0 means the market prices the yuan weaker than the fix; the band is ±2%, so gap_pct is read against that scale. Computed only on days a fix exists — ECB prints CNY on Chinese holidays and a gap against an unset fix would be fiction. Onshore only: no licence-clean keyless CNH source exists (the TMA fixing is licensed), stated rather than worked around. cross_check_diff is the ECB-vs-BoC derivation disagreement, published so a silent break in either source is visible; it is null on rounds where the Bank of Canada leg did not answer. Economic backdrop, not censorship — deliberately off the alarm board", "version": 1 }, "limitations": [ "The comparison is onshore and same-day but not simultaneous; it is economic context, not direct evidence of censorship." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "china-econ", "stock-connect", "data-darkness" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:stock-connect", "slug": "stock-connect", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/stock-connect/", "signal_id": "stock-connect", "headline": "Southbound Stock Connect net flow is -7.63 billion Hong Kong dollars", "dek": "The newsroom reports HKEX's official daily print and leaves discontinued northbound net-flow fields unestimated.", "section": "economy", "order": 3, "type": "measurement", "priority": "standard", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-21T14:03:19Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-21T14:03:19Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:18a65b57a6f27b6d6211fbd34d769d7f0fcc6ad6e7c64bbb73f4815f4bd812bd", "metric": { "label": "southbound net flow", "value": -7.63, "unit": "HKD billions", "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "observation", "statement": "HKEX reports current southbound Stock Connect net flow of -7.63 billion Hong Kong dollars." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/stock-connect-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "stock-connect-latest.json", "sha256": "49e3838a3fa5ab1ce2b94c6a8dbdff093fb922d4054854475e77005c85ffd3a9", "bytes": 736 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-21T14:03:19Z" }, "method": { "summary": "See the complete embedded upstream payload and its raw feed", "version": 1 }, "limitations": [ "HKEX no longer publishes the northbound buy-sell split, so no northbound net flow is inferred." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "china-econ", "cny-fix-gap" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:data-darkness", "slug": "official-data-darkness", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/official-data-darkness/", "signal_id": "data-darkness", "headline": "The official-data darkness index is 0.212 across 7 watched series", "dek": "Each official surface is judged against its own declared or observed publication rhythm, with unreachable sources kept separate.", "section": "economy", "order": 4, "type": "analysis", "priority": "high", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-23T10:32:44Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-23T10:32:44Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:08804ae5eef2691d64645f6ce8612b255b2c572fde39a9f71f3c7d2d222910be", "metric": { "label": "darkness index", "value": 0.212, "unit": "index", "denominator": { "label": "series watched", "value": 7 } }, "claims": [ { "type": "finding", "statement": "The current publication-cadence darkness index is 0.212 across 7 watched official series." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/data-darkness-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "data-darkness-latest.json", "sha256": "28966221cc28b86763a0d977559f3992bc6401ad120881aa4f13b169286a03de", "bytes": 3882 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-23T10:32:44Z" }, "method": { "summary": "publication-cadence watch: each surface reports the latest release visible from this vantage, scored as days-since against its own nominal cadence (business-day basis for daily series, so weekends are not darkness; Chinese public holidays are not modelled and appear as short recurring spikes the detector's reference learns). NBS series additionally carry days_past_promise, scored against the state's own published release calendar — a promise date is sharper than a learned rhythm. darkness_index is the mean staleness ratio over surfaces that answered. A surface that could not be fetched is listed as unreachable and excluded — vantage trouble is not withholding (nra.gov.cn in particular is known to gate some foreign vantages). A high index states that official surfaces are late against their own rhythm; it does not establish intent", "version": 1 }, "limitations": [ "Publication delay, calendar changes and collection failure can resemble withholding; per-series state is required for interpretation." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "china-econ", "cny-fix-gap", "believability" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:believability", "slug": "believability-read", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/believability-read/", "signal_id": "believability", "headline": "Believability read: no current finding", "dek": "The source is degraded. Palimpsest keeps the availability and evidence record visible without publishing retained values as current news.", "section": "economy", "order": 5, "type": "analysis", "priority": "background", "status": "degraded", "published_at": "2026-08-18T07:23:09Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-18T07:23:09Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:7adfd5f89d69f6f7aa86f6737ad2e35ed89a810eb2c7f17f3d5373c19e7a8863", "metric": { "label": null, "value": null, "unit": null, "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "availability", "statement": "No current finding is published for Believability read because the source status is degraded." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/believability-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "believability-latest.json", "sha256": "5b810c7778054877a36f9daa0fef4056ae3beed968e4f85863e2f864d86e21c8", "bytes": 1921 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-18T07:23:09Z" }, "method": { "summary": "the Li Keqiang composite (40% loan growth, 40% electricity, 20% rail freight, using the canonical weights) against the state's own headline industrial-production YoY for the same month. The statistic is DRIFT: this month's headline-minus-composite gap against the gap's own rolling median and MAD band, so a services-heavy economy's persistent gap reads as baseline and only a break in the established relationship registers. Electricity is PRODUCTION (the keyless state series), not the original's consumption; this is a stated substitution. A missing component abstains the composite rather than reweighting it; fewer than 8 months of history publishes the gap but claims no drift (warming_up). Full method, origin, critiques and counterpoint: docs/BELIEVABILITY.md. A reading outside the band is evidence the relationship moved; it does not, by itself, establish fabrication", "version": 2 }, "limitations": [ "Current finding withheld: upstream status is abstain", "A divergence outside the historical band shows a relationship moved; it does not by itself establish fabrication." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "china-econ", "data-darkness" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:generative-firewall", "slug": "generative-firewall-index", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/generative-firewall-index/", "signal_id": "generative-firewall", "headline": "The Generative Firewall Index reads 25 across 20 evaluated cells", "dek": "A controlled prompt bank measures answer, refusal and party-line behaviour by model and concept.", "section": "models", "order": 1, "type": "measurement", "priority": "lead", "status": "live", "published_at": "2026-08-23T08:02:43Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-23T08:02:43Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:b518336c820a3bee2b117ae569bbfee3d011e076b7d1eedcc1b95a299e9ae5af", "metric": { "label": "GFI", "value": 25.0, "unit": "index", "denominator": { "label": "evaluated cells", "value": 20 } }, "claims": [ { "type": "finding", "statement": "The current controlled evaluation reports a Generative Firewall Index of 25 across 20 cells." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/latest.json", "input": { "filename": "latest.json", "sha256": "3daacc7b91b056e31570b5c1250b7472b2d729fcc929b87b9fa50d4b25633618", "bytes": 199555 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-23T08:02:43Z" }, "method": { "summary": "k5-wilson95", "version": 4 }, "limitations": [ "The index describes a fixed prompt-and-model evaluation grid; it does not generalize to every prompt, language or deployment route." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "board-alarm", "forecast-ledger" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:anchors", "slug": "integrity-anchors", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/integrity-anchors/", "signal_id": "anchors", "headline": "Integrity anchors: no current finding", "dek": "The source is degraded. Palimpsest keeps the availability and evidence record visible without publishing retained values as current news.", "section": "integrity", "order": 1, "type": "integrity", "priority": "high", "status": "degraded", "published_at": "2026-08-24T06:31:32Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-24T06:31:32Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:e02e301d69119ebeef4dce6dac0dde187c62faec4841fc11d868ed2bf0d14c97", "metric": { "label": null, "value": null, "unit": null, "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "availability", "statement": "No current finding is published for Integrity anchors because the source status is degraded." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/anchors-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "anchors-latest.json", "sha256": "150b9b67a4d83c26937be96a8fcbc8e84d8ec5a1697ce0aab9b2a465cc143a22", "bytes": 532 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-24T06:31:32Z" }, "method": { "summary": "Merkle roots over committed ledgers with external timestamp witnesses", "version": null }, "limitations": [ "Current finding withheld: integrity semantic checks failed: wayback_ok is zero; no Internet Archive witness succeeded", "An integrity witness can detect later alteration of the sealed record; it does not independently validate every underlying claim." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "wayback", "github-refuge", "erasure-observatory" ] }, { "id": "palimpsest-news:nemesis", "slug": "private-runtime-bridge", "url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/private-runtime-bridge/", "signal_id": "nemesis", "headline": "Private runtime bridge: no current finding", "dek": "The source is stale. Palimpsest keeps the availability and evidence record visible without publishing retained values as current news.", "section": "nemesis", "order": 1, "type": "intelligence", "priority": "background", "status": "stale", "published_at": "2026-08-23T01:14:16Z", "modified_at": "2026-08-23T01:14:16Z", "claim_fingerprint": "sha256:2910f6a0ca7e3b741566ea28c45c132cab586c651b3214a4ed21abb434e04292", "metric": { "label": null, "value": null, "unit": null, "denominator": { "label": null, "value": null } }, "claims": [ { "type": "availability", "statement": "No current finding is published for Private runtime bridge because the source status is stale." } ], "evidence": { "url": "https://palimpsest.info/readings/nemesis-latest.json", "input": { "filename": "nemesis-latest.json", "sha256": "b42f2649f36c92a81fe758ce207d12d1a2820cbe7473ae90aab057fa49cc5838", "bytes": 170425 }, "source_timestamp": "2026-08-23T01:14:16Z" }, "method": { "summary": "Observed public-source topic attention, novelty, and economic-topic share", "version": "nemesis-public-v2" }, "limitations": [ "Current finding withheld: freshness deadline has passed", "This deployment-dependent export supplies analytical leads, not independently verified public-source findings." ], "related_signal_ids": [ "ddti", "china-econ", "board-alarm" ] } ] }