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"myanmar-now", "title": "Myanmar junta airstrike in Paletwa kills five and injures 17, including children", "url": "https://myanmar-now.org/en/news/myanmar-junta-airstrike-in-paletwa-kills-five-and-injures-17-including-children/" } ], "english_translation": null }, { "event_id": "event-2dab7d023574637542768ee1", "event_url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/wire/event-2dab7d023574637542768ee1/", "event_page_available": true, "headline": "The Russian general behind Moscow’s decades-long military courtship of Myanmar", "dek": "Long before Russia became the regime’s most important military partner, Aleksandr Fomin was already cultivating ties with its officer corps, a relationship now extending beyond military support into energy, finance, infrastructure and space cooperation", "published_at": "2026-08-25T05:46:15Z", "first_recorded_at": "2026-08-29T20:10:35Z", "last_recorded_at": "2026-08-29T20:10:35Z", "source_ids": [ "myanmar-now" ], "source_names": [ "Myanmar Now — English" ], "evidence_strength": "single-source", "version_count": 1, "version_ids": [ "eventv-065980d9a5fe4d82213b27fa" ], "current_in_wire": true, "topics": [ "economy", "politics", "rights", "security" ], "region_tags": [ "bri", "myanmar" ], "publisher_links": [ { "source_id": "myanmar-now", "title": "The Russian general behind Moscow’s decades-long military courtship of Myanmar", "url": "https://myanmar-now.org/en/news/the-russian-general-behind-moscows-decades-long-military-courtship-of-myanmar/" } ], "english_translation": null }, { "event_id": "event-1906678f72b36035246838fb", "event_url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/wire/event-1906678f72b36035246838fb/", "event_page_available": false, "headline": "北京否认“任意拘押”缅甸问题学者敏辛，指称“这位美国公民涉嫌危害国家安全”", "dek": null, "published_at": "2026-08-21T11:45:35Z", "first_recorded_at": "2026-08-21T12:00:04Z", "last_recorded_at": "2026-08-21T12:00:04Z", "source_ids": [ "rfi-chinese" ], "source_names": [ "RFI" ], "evidence_strength": "single-source", "version_count": 1, "version_ids": [ "eventv-7a41f40f82b3ca7b26ecf85c" ], "current_in_wire": false, "topics": [], "region_tags": [ "bri", "myanmar" ], "publisher_links": [], "english_translation": { "translation_id": "zhtr-b2c47d2966a2aa2e513d2a5c", "public_url": "/news/china/english/page/17/#translation-zhtr-b2c47d2966a2aa2e513d2a5c", "title_en": "Beijing Denies 'Arbitrary Detention' of Myanmar-focused Scholar Min Zin, Alleging 'This U.S. Citizen Is Suspected of Endangering National Security'", "context_en": "", "translation_notes_en": "The name 'Min Zin' refers to the Myanmar-focused scholar mentioned in the text. Proper name standardized to ‘Min Zin’ for the person rendered as 敏辛 in the captured Chinese metadata.", "status": "machine-draft-not-human-certified", "background_en": "Beijing is officially justifying the detention of a U.S. citizen by citing national security charges, contradicting accusations of arbitrary detainment.", "background_basis": "Supplied title/headline, bounded feed excerpt/dek, publisher metadata, topics, and source clocks only; no article body, web retrieval, or outside facts.", "background_status": "machine-generated-context-not-translation", "original_title_zh": "北京否认“任意拘押”缅甸问题学者敏辛，指称“这位美国公民涉嫌危害国家安全”", "original_context_zh": "", "original_content_sha256": "36793637fd6059796f24eb4ae6d29487eda9f25eb556c24d2e4c344dc38f004f", "provider": "Google Gemini API", "model_id": "gemini-3.1-flash-lite", "prompt_revision": "palimpsest-zh-en-metadata-v1" } }, { "event_id": "event-4e242014cf4f1b07591b046f", "event_url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/wire/event-4e242014cf4f1b07591b046f/", "event_page_available": true, "headline": "美国务院认定学者敏辛在中国遭“非法拘押”，“已在最高层级”促北京释放敏辛", "dek": null, "published_at": "2026-08-20T21:45:23Z", "first_recorded_at": "2026-08-20T22:00:05Z", "last_recorded_at": "2026-08-23T20:30:05Z", "source_ids": [ "voa-chinese" ], "source_names": [ "Voice of America Chinese" ], "evidence_strength": "single-source", "version_count": 2, "version_ids": [ "eventv-9f890997be72e5106f19fe6b", "eventv-ae88933a4b055471ae6e2cd4" ], "current_in_wire": false, "topics": [], "region_tags": [ "bri", "myanmar" ], "publisher_links": [], "english_translation": { "translation_id": "zhtr-0c7a1dae847540a6eac8e7d3", "public_url": "/news/china/english/page/21/#translation-zhtr-0c7a1dae847540a6eac8e7d3", "title_en": "U.S. State Department Determines Scholar Min Zin Was 'Wrongfully Detained' in China; Has Urged Beijing at the 'Highest Levels' to Release Min Zin", "context_en": "", "translation_notes_en": "The term 'wrongfully detained' is a specific legal designation used by the U.S. government. Proper name standardized to ‘Min Zin’ for the person rendered as 敏辛 in the captured Chinese metadata.", "status": "machine-draft-not-human-certified", "background_en": "The U.S. Department of State has formally categorized the detention of a scholar as wrongful and is engaging in high-level diplomatic pressure to secure their release.", "background_basis": "Supplied title/headline, bounded feed excerpt/dek, publisher metadata, topics, and source clocks only; no article body, web retrieval, or outside facts.", "background_status": "machine-generated-context-not-translation", "original_title_zh": "美国务院认定学者敏辛在中国遭“非法拘押”，“已在最高层级”促北京释放敏辛", "original_context_zh": "", "original_content_sha256": "cd459aa9f080bf120b601c1635405a0276ba46dd8cc40c8ae3aeaa114f081ce5", "provider": "Google Gemini API", "model_id": "gemini-3.1-flash-lite", "prompt_revision": "palimpsest-zh-en-metadata-v1" } }, { "event_id": "event-b8bb70ff36ce2fcc1405d34d", "event_url": "https://palimpsest.info/news/wire/event-b8bb70ff36ce2fcc1405d34d/", "event_page_available": true, "headline": "軍政府因中國再次強硬 緬甸百姓的革命夢想幻滅了嗎？", "dek": null, "published_at": "2026-08-06T13:34:05Z", "first_recorded_at": "2026-08-11T14:55:03Z", "last_recorded_at": "2026-08-11T15:18:52Z", "source_ids": [ "bbc-chinese" ], "source_names": [ "BBC News Chinese" ], "evidence_strength": "single-source", "version_count": 2, "version_ids": [ "eventv-f59546da22fed1cf52787621", "eventv-4b8ffd16680a10ab727ee0c9" ], "current_in_wire": false, "topics": [], "region_tags": [ "bri", "myanmar" ], "publisher_links": [], "english_translation": { "translation_id": "zhtr-d233ccd9955ccad6fcdd4eb7", "public_url": "/news/china/english/page/28/#translation-zhtr-d233ccd9955ccad6fcdd4eb7", "title_en": "Military junta stands tough again because of China: Are the revolutionary dreams of the Burmese people shattered?", "context_en": "With China's support, Myanmar's President Min Aung Hlaing, who 'swapped his military uniform for civilian clothes,' is seeking to break out of diplomatic isolation. For those Myanmar opposition supporters who hope to reshape the country through revolution, the prospects are disheartening.", "translation_notes_en": "“棄戎從文” literally means abandoning military life to engage in literature/civilian life; in this context, it refers to Min Aung Hlaing shedding his military uniform for a civilian political role.", "status": "machine-draft-not-human-certified", "background_en": "The publisher suggests that ongoing Chinese support for the current Myanmar administration is complicating the efforts of opposition movements.", "background_basis": "Supplied title/headline, bounded feed excerpt/dek, publisher metadata, topics, and source clocks only; no article body, web retrieval, or outside facts.", "background_status": "machine-generated-context-not-translation", "original_title_zh": "軍政府因中國再次強硬 緬甸百姓的革命夢想幻滅了嗎？", "original_context_zh": "在中國支持下，「棄戎從文」的緬甸總統敏昂萊正尋求突破外交孤立。對於那些希望透過革命來重塑國家的緬甸反對派支持者來說，前景讓人沮喪。", "original_content_sha256": "974a7fdcbdc128213a00d856374bbc25d88df5046a0185569c8b91ccda3b6bc1", "provider": "Google Gemini API", "model_id": "gemini-3.1-flash-lite", "prompt_revision": "palimpsest-zh-en-metadata-v1" } } ], "limitations": [ "This is the complete retained Palimpsest capture ledger for the declared classifier, not every article ever published on the internet.", "Feed metadata can be incomplete, partisan, mistaken, translated, revised or removed; a listing is attribution, not endorsement or adjudication.", "Historical ledger entries may lack a retained excerpt or publisher URL; the event page is linked only when a generated public page remains present.", "A source-specific lane can include a relevant regional item whose headline omits the place name; records may therefore appear in multiple lanes.", "Restricted article bodies and licensed event-level datasets are not copied into this metadata dump." ], "content_sha256": "5ae592ece96e16766a22434f94d777123aecbf0801ceed0e4c06cf2c9343f1dd" }, "editorial_evidence": { "schema_version": "palimpsest.regional-editorial-evidence.v1", "as_of": "2026-08-30", "source_sha256": "ad6196b40be15b2c3a014ef6986544dd04cb773939b1959009bc749564fb0f31", "title": "Kyaukpyu's strategic value is visible; its local return is not", "dek": "A 50-year concession and large projected capacity sit inside mass displacement, military rule and unresolved project preconditions. Capacity is not cash flow, and strategic transit is not local consent.", "sections": [ { "section_id": "capacity-not-cash-flow", "heading": "Projected capacity is not construction, utilization or cash flow", "paragraphs": [ "Kyaukpyu's plan is large, its concession long and its ownership structure consequential. Yet the latest reviewed official status still described outstanding conditions precedent. The page therefore treats port capacity and benefit estimates as projections until construction, financing and operations are independently established.", "The same discipline applies to the pipelines. Conflicting published oil-capacity figures and the absence of a recent audited throughput and receipts series are governance findings, not invitations to choose the more impressive number." ], "evidence_ids": [ "kyaukpyu-phase-one-terms", "kyaukpyu-master-plan", "kyaukpyu-status-2025", "myanmar-pipeline-capacity-official" ] }, { "section_id": "strategic-thin-multiplier", "heading": "Strategic transit can coexist with a thin local multiplier", "paragraphs": [ "An oil or gas corridor can diversify China's transit routes while producing limited local employment, energy access or fiscal transfer in Rakhine. Those outcomes are not mutually exclusive, which is why capacity alone is a poor welfare proxy.", "The missing local ledger includes actual throughput, audited Myanmar receipts, local energy offtake, budget transfers, compensation, fisheries effects and durable jobs." ], "evidence_ids": [ "myanmar-pipeline-capacity-official", "rakhine-advisory-local-benefits" ] }, { "section_id": "conflict-denominator", "heading": "Four million displaced people change every project denominator", "paragraphs": [ "A long-lived concession in a country with mass displacement, deep poverty and high inflation cannot be evaluated as if consent, land rights and public institutions were normal. This does not prove that the project caused the conflict; it means conflict conditions shape who can negotiate, benefit, object and obtain remedy.", "Rakhine's displacement totals make affected-community evidence essential. National GDP and a port's design capacity cannot substitute for it." ], "evidence_ids": [ "myanmar-displacement-2026", "myanmar-economic-monitor-2026", "myanmar-poverty-2024" ] }, { "section_id": "rights-attribution", "heading": "The military's record is dominant; other armed actors are not exempt", "paragraphs": [ "OHCHR's 2025 evidence attributes the great majority of verified incidents and civilian casualties to Myanmar's military and documents a sharp rise in verified airstrike deaths. It also documents serious violations by anti-military armed actors. Both statements belong in the same credible account.", "The federal-democracy movement is likewise plural. Political institutions, civil disobedience, ethnic civil society, armed organizations, Arakan Army governance and Rohingya rights cannot be reduced to one opposition actor." ], "evidence_ids": [ "myanmar-ohchr-2025-rights", "myanmar-ohchr-federal-democracy" ] }, { "section_id": "china-position", "heading": "China's non-interference claim should be tested against observed leverage", "paragraphs": [ "China emphasizes sovereignty, territorial integrity, an electoral roadmap and faster CMEC delivery. The analytical question is not whether the statement exists; it is how diplomatic support, project leverage and commercial exposure affect incentives and whether local consent and rights safeguards are observable.", "Myanmar's military authorities' objections to UN reporting are relevant counterposition, but they do not displace incident-specific verified evidence." ], "evidence_ids": [ "myanmar-china-official-position", "myanmar-authorities-counterposition", "myanmar-ohchr-2025-rights" ] }, { "section_id": "what-would-change-myanmar", "heading": "What would make Kyaukpyu's return measurable", "paragraphs": [ "The minimum evidence is verified construction status, financing and guarantees, audited throughput and receipts, public environmental and social assessment, compensation, local procurement and employment, energy offtake, consultation and a remedy process accessible to displaced and stateless communities.", "Without that ledger, the project remains strategically legible but economically and socially underdetermined." ], "evidence_ids": [ "kyaukpyu-status-2025", "rakhine-advisory-local-benefits", "myanmar-displacement-2026" ] } ], "evidence": [ { "evidence_id": "kyaukpyu-phase-one-terms", "regions": [ "bri", "myanmar" ], "source_name": "Belt and Road Portal of China", "source_title": "Kyaukpyu deep-sea port framework account", "url": "https://www.yidaiyilu.gov.cn/p/156087.html", "published_at": "2020-09-09", "source_role": "official-project-position", "evidence_state": "official-project-claim", "statement": "The official Chinese project account describes a four-phase port, with first-phase cost capped at $1.3 billion, 70:30 Chinese-consortium/Myanmar ownership and a 50-year concession.", "interpretation_limit": "Projected employment, tax and GDP benefits are project claims, not observed cash flows or local welfare." }, { "evidence_id": "kyaukpyu-master-plan", "regions": [ "bri", "myanmar" ], "source_name": "Myanmar Directorate of Investment and Company Administration", "source_title": "Kyaukpyu Special Economic Zone master-plan materials", "url": "https://www.dica.gov.mm/sites/dica.gov.mm/files/news-files/report_on_rsios_for_printing_20190215_english.pdf", "published_at": "2019-02-15", "source_role": "official-project-document", "evidence_state": "official-plan", "statement": "The master plan describes a 1,000-hectare industrial park, a 500-hectare residential area and two port sites of 150 and 96 hectares, with berth and vessel-capacity specifications.", "interpretation_limit": "A master plan is design intent, not proof of financing, construction, utilization, compensation or consent." }, { "evidence_id": "kyaukpyu-status-2025", "regions": [ "bri", "myanmar" ], "source_name": "Myanmar Ministry of Information", "source_title": "Kyaukpyu SEZ and deep-sea port implementation status", "url": "https://www.moi.gov.mm/moi%3Aeng/index.php/news/16809", "published_at": "2025-01-23", "source_role": "official-position", "evidence_state": "official-status-claim", "statement": "The ministry reported 16 outstanding conditions precedent and an extended long-stop date; reviewed authoritative records did not establish a subsequent construction start by this editorial's as-of date.", "interpretation_limit": "Absence of a reviewed construction-start record is not proof that no unreported work occurred; the defensible public status is preconditions and assessment documented, commencement unverified." }, { "evidence_id": "myanmar-pipeline-capacity-official", "regions": [ "bri", "myanmar" ], "source_name": "Belt and Road Portal of China", "source_title": "China-Myanmar oil and gas pipeline account", "url": "https://eng.yidaiyilu.gov.cn/p/12628.html?page=0", "published_at": "2017-05-15", "source_role": "official-project-position", "evidence_state": "official-capacity-claim", "statement": "The official account gives a 771-kilometre oil pipeline 22-million-tonne annual design capacity and a 793-kilometre gas pipeline 12-billion-cubic-metre capacity, with stated Myanmar offtake shares.", "interpretation_limit": "A CNPC annual report elsewhere gives 13 million tonnes for oil design capacity. Neither source provides a recent audited series for throughput, transit receipts, local delivery or Rakhine transfers." }, { "evidence_id": "rakhine-advisory-local-benefits", "regions": [ "bri", "myanmar" ], "source_name": "Advisory Commission on Rakhine State", "source_title": "Towards a Peaceful, Fair and Prosperous Future for the People of Rakhine", "url": "https://www.kofiannanfoundation.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/FinalReport_Eng.pdf", "published_at": "2017-08-24", "source_role": "independent-commission", "evidence_state": "commission-finding", "statement": "The commission concluded that Kyaukpyu oil, gas and infrastructure investments had not yet produced significant employment or other benefits for local communities and recommended participation, compensation, strategic environmental assessment and consultation.", "interpretation_limit": "This is a 2017 baseline and must not be presented as a current project-status measurement without newer evidence." }, { "evidence_id": "myanmar-displacement-2026", "regions": [ "myanmar" ], "source_name": "UNHCR", "source_title": "Myanmar operational data portal", "url": "https://data.unhcr.org/en/country/mmr", "published_at": "2026-08-10", "source_role": "humanitarian-data", "evidence_state": "published-operational-count", "statement": "UNHCR reported 4.031 million internally displaced people nationwide, including 498,000 in Rakhine State and 224,749 stateless internally displaced people in Rakhine, as of 10 August 2026.", "interpretation_limit": "Operational counts can be revised and do not allocate responsibility for each displacement." }, { "evidence_id": "myanmar-economic-monitor-2026", "regions": [ "bri", "myanmar" ], "source_name": "World Bank", "source_title": "Myanmar's Economy Shows Tentative Stabilization but Fuel Shock Intensifies Pressures", "url": "https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2026/06/16/myanmar-s-economy-shows-tentative-stabilization-but-fuel-shock-intensifies-pressures", "published_at": "2026-06-16", "source_role": "multilateral-analysis", "evidence_state": "model-estimate", "statement": "The World Bank estimated a 2.0 percent FY2025/26 contraction, projected 2.0 percent FY2026/27 growth and recorded 24.6 percent year-on-year inflation in April 2026 amid conflict and disrupted trade, energy and logistics.", "interpretation_limit": "National macro estimates do not identify the effect of one corridor or project on Rakhine communities." }, { "evidence_id": "myanmar-poverty-2024", "regions": [ "myanmar" ], "source_name": "United Nations Development Programme", "source_title": "Middle class disappearing and poverty deepening in Myanmar", "url": "https://www.undp.org/press-releases/middle-class-disappearing-and-poverty-deepening-myanmar", "published_at": "2024-04-11", "source_role": "multilateral-analysis", "evidence_state": "model-estimate", "statement": "UNDP estimated poverty rising from 24.8 percent in 2017 to 49.7 percent in 2023 and reported that more than 76 percent of people were poor or economically insecure.", "interpretation_limit": "These national estimates are conflict-era welfare context, not a causal estimate for Chinese projects." }, { "evidence_id": "myanmar-ohchr-2025-rights", "regions": [ "bri", "myanmar" ], "source_name": "Office of the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights", "source_title": "Annual update on the human rights situation in Myanmar, 2025", "url": "https://bangkok.ohchr.org/sites/default/files/documents/2026-02/ohchr_myanmar_annual_update_2025.pdf", "published_at": "2026-02-26", "source_role": "un-human-rights-reporting", "evidence_state": "verified-and-reported-findings", "statement": "OHCHR reported that Myanmar's military remained responsible for the great majority of verified incidents and civilian casualties, while anti-military armed groups also committed serious violations; verified civilian airstrike deaths rose from 641 in 2024 to 982 in 2025.", "interpretation_limit": "The report distinguishes verified incidents from reports received and does not make every armed actor or political opponent interchangeable." }, { "evidence_id": "myanmar-ohchr-federal-democracy", "regions": [ "myanmar" ], "source_name": "Office of the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights", "source_title": "Situation of human rights in Myanmar, A/HRC/59/57", "url": "https://bangkok.ohchr.org/sites/default/files/documents/2025-05/a-hrc-59-57-auv.pdf", "published_at": "2025-05-28", "source_role": "un-human-rights-reporting", "evidence_state": "documented-analysis", "statement": "OHCHR describes the Federal Democracy Charter as a framework for ending military dictatorship and creating a federal democratic union, while also documenting serious abuses by some opposition and ethnic armed actors.", "interpretation_limit": "The NUG, NUCC, civil-disobedience networks, ethnic civil society, ethnic armed organizations, Arakan Army governance and Rohingya rights are distinct actors and agendas." }, { "evidence_id": "myanmar-china-official-position", "regions": [ "bri", "myanmar" ], "source_name": "Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China", "source_title": "China-Myanmar bilateral meeting statement", "url": "https://www.fmprc.gov.cn/eng/wjbzhd/202408/t20240815_11474224.html", "published_at": "2024-08-15", "source_role": "official-position", "evidence_state": "official-claim", "statement": "China's stated policy emphasizes Myanmar's sovereignty and territorial integrity, support for a military-authored electoral roadmap and faster CMEC implementation, while describing its posture as non-interference.", "interpretation_limit": "This is China's official position; it does not independently resolve questions about political support, conflict incentives, local consent or project distribution." }, { "evidence_id": "myanmar-authorities-counterposition", "regions": [ "myanmar" ], "source_name": "Myanmar Ministry of Information", "source_title": "Myanmar authorities' response to international human-rights reporting", "url": "https://www.moi.gov.mm/moi%3Aeng/news/14780", "published_at": "2024-06-21", "source_role": "official-counterposition", "evidence_state": "official-claim", "statement": "Myanmar's military authorities reject much UN reporting as dependent on armed-group narratives and argue that sanctions and instability harm civilians.", "interpretation_limit": "This counterposition is not independent rebuttal of each verified incident and should appear beside, not replace, specific evidence." } ], "method": [ "Use exact official or institutional records for every numeric statement and keep modeled values, official claims, attributed allegations and documented findings in separate evidence states.", "Write data-dense external-account and project-lifecycle analysis without imitating any living writer's distinctive prose.", "Treat unavailable as unavailable, never zero; distinguish commitment, construction, completion, operation and utilization.", "Publish state and project counterpositions beside critical evidence without allowing them to erase incident-specific findings or allegations.", "Never merge electoral politics, peaceful civic advocacy, separatist advocacy, armed organizations, state actions or affected communities into one actor." ], "limitations": [ "This is a desk synthesis of cited public records, not field reporting or a judicial finding.", "Sources may revise live pages after the as-of date; the URL and publication clock remain visible for re-checking.", "National data cannot establish provincial or project causality, and conflict data cannot establish that infrastructure caused violence or repression.", "The source set is broad but not exhaustive; challenges, counterevidence and corrections can be submitted through Palimpsest's public challenge route." ] }, "coverage_contract": { "artifact_as_of": "2026-08-26T19:34:49Z", "targets": [ { "target_id": "cmec_portfolio", "label": "China-Myanmar Economic Corridor portfolio", "target_type": "economic_corridor", "evidence_status": "source_discovery", "required_coverage": [ "project_identity", "project_status", "contract", "finance_commitment", "trade" ], "source_ids": [ "myanmar_moi_cmec", "myanmar_dica", "world_bank_myanmar_monitor" ] }, { "target_id": "kyaukpyu_port_sez", "label": "Kyaukpyu deep-sea port and special economic zone", "target_type": "port_and_sez", "evidence_status": "source_discovery", "required_coverage": [ "project_status", "ownership", "contract", "finance_commitment", "port_logistics", "land", "livelihood", "environment" ], "source_ids": [ "myanmar_port_authority", "myanmar_dica", "world_bank_myanmar_monitor", "copernicus_sentinel2" ] }, { "target_id": "china_myanmar_pipelines", "label": "China-Myanmar oil and gas pipelines", "target_type": "energy_corridor", "evidence_status": "source_discovery", "required_coverage": [ "project_status", "ownership", "energy", "trade", "land", "livelihood", "environment" ], "source_ids": [ "myanmar_moi_cmec", "myanmar_dica", "world_bank_myanmar_monitor" ] }, { "target_id": "mandalay_muse_rail", "label": "Mandalay-Muse railway and connected logistics", "target_type": "rail_corridor", "evidence_status": "source_discovery", "required_coverage": [ "project_status", "contract", "finance_commitment", "trade", "land", "environment" ], "source_ids": [ "myanmar_moi_cmec", "myanmar_dica", "world_bank_myanmar_monitor" ] } ], "sources": [ { "source_id": "gacc_bilateral_trade", "name": "China Customs bilateral trade statistics", "publisher": "General Administration of Customs of China", "url": "https://english.customs.gov.cn/Statistics/Statistics", "source_class": "official_china", "authority_role": "primary_record", "access_mode": "public_manual", "rights_status": "official_publication_review_required", "implementation": "planned", "cadence": "monthly", "geographies": [ "GLOBAL", "CHN", "PAK", "MMR" ], "coverage": [ "trade" ], "independence_group": "gacc_trade_statistics", "claim_classes": [ "official_statistic" ], "notes": "Preserve reporter, partner, valuation basis, commodity classification and revisions." }, { "source_id": "world_bank_bri_network", "name": "World Bank BRI transport-network replication dataset", "publisher": "World Bank", "url": "https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/search/dataset/0040786/bri-database-reed-and-trubetskoy-2019", "source_class": "multilateral", "authority_role": "analytical_estimate", "access_mode": "open_download", "rights_status": "attribution", "implementation": "adapter_ready", "cadence": "snapshot", "geographies": [ "GLOBAL", "PAK", "MMR" ], "coverage": [ "project_identity", "port_logistics", "trade", "remote_sensing" ], "independence_group": "world_bank_bri_network_model", "claim_classes": [ "modeled_estimate", "analytical_estimate" ], "notes": "CC BY 4.0 replication files; modeled network and market-access scenarios are not current project-status records." }, { "source_id": "world_bank_wdi", "name": "World Development Indicators", "publisher": "World Bank", "url": "https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators", "source_class": "multilateral", "authority_role": "independent_observation", "access_mode": "open_keyless", "rights_status": "attribution", "implementation": "live", "cadence": "annual", "geographies": [ "GLOBAL", "CHN", "PAK", "MMR" ], "coverage": [ "trade", "fiscal", "employment", "energy", "environment" ], "independence_group": "world_bank_wdi", "claim_classes": [ "official_statistic", "modeled_estimate" ], "notes": "World Bank compilation of national context with indicator-specific upstream authority, modeled-estimate labels, revisions and source clocks; it is production-verified context, not independent project, actor, corridor or causal BRI evidence." }, { "source_id": "world_bank_ids", "name": "International Debt Statistics", "publisher": "World Bank", "url": "https://www.worldbank.org/en/programs/debt-statistics/ids", "source_class": "multilateral", "authority_role": "independent_observation", "access_mode": "open_download", "rights_status": "attribution", "implementation": "adapter_ready", "cadence": "annual", "geographies": [ "GLOBAL", "PAK", "MMR" ], "coverage": [ "debt", "fiscal", "finance_commitment", "disbursement" ], "independence_group": "world_bank_debt_statistics", "claim_classes": [ "official_statistic" ], "notes": "Public and publicly guaranteed external debt aggregates; creditor coverage and timing must accompany every value." }, { "source_id": "un_comtrade", "name": "UN Comtrade", "publisher": "United Nations Statistics Division", "url": "https://comtradeplus.un.org/", "source_class": "multilateral", "authority_role": "independent_observation", "access_mode": "registration", "rights_status": "link_only_pending_review", "implementation": "link_only", "cadence": "monthly", "geographies": [ "GLOBAL", "CHN", "PAK", "MMR" ], "coverage": [ "trade" ], "independence_group": "un_comtrade", "claim_classes": [ "official_statistic" ], "notes": "Reporter-partner-product flows; mirror asymmetries, CIF/FOB basis and revisions must be retained." }, { "source_id": "imf_weo", "name": "World Economic Outlook Database", "publisher": "International Monetary Fund", "url": "https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2026/April", "source_class": "multilateral", "authority_role": "analytical_estimate", "access_mode": "open_download", "rights_status": "link_only_pending_review", "implementation": "link_only", "cadence": "quarterly", "geographies": [ "GLOBAL", "CHN", "PAK", "MMR" ], "coverage": [ "fiscal", "debt", "trade", "employment" ], "independence_group": "imf_weo", "claim_classes": [ "official_statistic", "modeled_estimate" ], "notes": "Observed and projected years must remain distinguishable; check IMF reuse terms before redistribution." }, { "source_id": "imf_portwatch", "name": "PortWatch trade-disruption and port-call estimates", "publisher": "International Monetary Fund and University of Oxford", "url": "https://portwatch.imf.org/", "source_class": "multilateral", "authority_role": "analytical_estimate", "access_mode": "open_keyless", "rights_status": "link_only_pending_review", "implementation": "link_only", "cadence": "daily", "geographies": [ "GLOBAL", "PAK", "PAK-GWD", "MMR", "MMR-RKH" ], "coverage": [ "port_logistics", "trade" ], "independence_group": "imf_portwatch", "claim_classes": [ "modeled_estimate" ], "notes": "Modeled trade and port activity; never represent as customs value or port-authority throughput." }, { "source_id": "aiddata_gcdf", "name": "Global Chinese Development Finance Dataset 3.0", "publisher": "AidData at William and Mary", "url": "https://www.aiddata.org/data/aiddatas-global-chinese-development-finance-dataset-version-3-0", "source_class": "research", "authority_role": "independent_observation", "access_mode": "registration", "rights_status": "link_only_pending_review", "implementation": "link_only", "cadence": "irregular", "geographies": [ "GLOBAL", "PAK", "MMR" ], "coverage": [ "project_identity", "project_status", "finance_commitment", "disbursement", "debt", "ownership", "contractor", "environment" ], "independence_group": "aiddata_tuff", "claim_classes": [ "reported_event", "analytical_estimate" ], "notes": "Project-level research dataset using TUFF methodology; license and redistribution terms require review before ingest." }, { "source_id": "bu_codf", "name": "China's Overseas Development Finance Database", "publisher": "Boston University Global Development Policy Center", "url": "https://www.bu.edu/gdp/chinas-overseas-development-finance/", "source_class": "research", "authority_role": "independent_observation", "access_mode": "open_download", "rights_status": "link_only_pending_review", "implementation": "link_only", "cadence": "annual", "geographies": [ "GLOBAL", "PAK", "MMR" ], "coverage": [ "project_identity", "finance_commitment", "debt", "ownership", "contractor", "environment" ], "independence_group": "bu_global_china", "claim_classes": [ "reported_event", "analytical_estimate" ], "notes": "Tracks CDB/CHEXIM public and publicly guaranteed loan commitments, not disbursements, repayments or total debt." }, { "source_id": "greenfdc_bri", "name": "China BRI investment and construction reports", "publisher": "Green Finance and Development Center", "url": "https://greenfdc.org/china-belt-and-road-initiative-bri-investment-report-2025/", "source_class": "research", "authority_role": "analytical_estimate", "access_mode": "public_manual", "rights_status": "link_only_pending_review", "implementation": "link_only", "cadence": "annual", "geographies": [ "GLOBAL", "CHN", "PAK", "MMR" ], "coverage": [ "finance_commitment", "contract", "energy", "environment" ], "independence_group": "greenfdc_bri", "claim_classes": [ "analytical_estimate" ], "notes": "Research estimates of construction contracts and investment; methodology and deal definitions travel with totals." }, { "source_id": "aei_cgit", "name": "China Global Investment Tracker", "publisher": "American Enterprise Institute", "url": "https://www.aei.org/china-global-investment-tracker/", "source_class": "research", "authority_role": "analytical_estimate", "access_mode": "open_download", "rights_status": "link_only_pending_review", "implementation": "link_only", "cadence": "quarterly", "geographies": [ "GLOBAL", "PAK", "MMR" ], "coverage": [ "project_identity", "finance_commitment", "contract", "ownership", "contractor", "energy" ], "independence_group": "aei_cgit", "claim_classes": [ "analytical_estimate", "reported_event" ], "notes": "Large transactions only under the producer's definitions; do not infer comprehensive coverage." }, { "source_id": "global_energy_monitor", "name": "Global Energy Ownership Tracker and Global Integrated Power Tracker", "publisher": "Global Energy Monitor", "url": "https://globalenergymonitor.org/projects/global-energy-ownership-tracker", "source_class": "research", "authority_role": "independent_observation", "access_mode": "registration", "rights_status": "link_only_pending_review", "implementation": "link_only", "cadence": "annual", "geographies": [ "GLOBAL", "PAK", "MMR" ], "coverage": [ "project_identity", "project_status", "energy", "ownership", "contractor", "environment" ], "independence_group": "global_energy_monitor", "claim_classes": [ "reported_event", "analytical_estimate" ], "notes": "Current ownership and power-project tracker family; obtain and retain each dataset license and version before redistribution." }, { "source_id": "ucdp_events", "name": "UCDP annual conflict aggregates (reviewed public context)", "publisher": "Uppsala Conflict Data Program", "url": "https://ucdp.uu.se/downloads/", "source_class": "research", "authority_role": "independent_observation", "access_mode": "open_download", "rights_status": "attribution", "implementation": "live", "cadence": "annual", "geographies": [ "GLOBAL", "PAK", "PAK-BAL", "MMR", "MMR-RKH" ], "coverage": [ "conflict", "humanitarian", "corrections" ], "independence_group": "ucdp", "claim_classes": [ "reported_event", "analytical_estimate" ], "notes": "Version 26.1 annual aggregate context is live at /readings/ucdp-aggregate-latest.json with its exact /readings/ucdp-aggregate-release-receipt.json. The reviewed Git lock binds the captured rights page, dated review and expiry, three required citations, and three immutable inputs; only annual administrative-area context crosses the boundary, never tactical coordinates or person-level dossiers. Country-year fatality bounds for Pakistan are national, not Balochistan-only, and no row supports NarcoScope actor, route, project, guilt or causal inference." }, { "source_id": "acled_events", "name": "ACLED conflict-event data", "publisher": "Armed Conflict Location and Event Data", "url": "https://acleddata.com/eula", "source_class": "research", "authority_role": "independent_observation", "access_mode": "licensed", "rights_status": "licensed_no_redistribution", "implementation": "blocked", "cadence": "weekly", "geographies": [ "PAK", "PAK-BAL", "MMR", "MMR-RKH" ], "coverage": [ "conflict", "humanitarian" ], "independence_group": "acled", "claim_classes": [ "licensed_event" ], "notes": "No scraping or public redistribution; use only under an appropriate license and publish permitted aggregates." }, { "source_id": "myanmar_moi_cmec", "name": "Myanmar-China joint statements on CMEC", "publisher": "Ministry of Information, Myanmar", "url": "https://www.moi.gov.mm/moi:eng/news/21295", "source_class": "official_host", "authority_role": "administrative_position", "access_mode": "open_keyless", "rights_status": "official_publication_review_required", "implementation": "link_only", "cadence": "event", "geographies": [ "MMR", "MMR-RKH", "CHN" ], "coverage": [ "project_identity", "project_status", "contract", "trade", "energy" ], "independence_group": "myanmar_china_joint_statements", "claim_classes": [ "official_position", "project_register" ], "notes": "Joint political and project-status statements; language such as promote or explore is not completion evidence." }, { "source_id": "myanmar_port_authority", "name": "Myanmar Port Authority development projects and Kyaukpyu port pages", "publisher": "Myanma Port Authority", "url": "https://www.mpa.gov.mm/development_projects/", "source_class": "official_host", "authority_role": "primary_record", "access_mode": "public_manual", "rights_status": "official_publication_review_required", "implementation": "link_only", "cadence": "event", "geographies": [ "MMR", "MMR-RKH" ], "coverage": [ "project_identity", "project_status", "ownership", "contractor", "port_logistics", "land", "environment" ], "independence_group": "myanmar_port_authority", "claim_classes": [ "project_register", "official_position" ], "notes": "Port authority record; archive status revisions and keep proposals separate from operational assets." }, { "source_id": "myanmar_dica", "name": "Myanmar investment approvals and company information", "publisher": "Directorate of Investment and Company Administration, Myanmar", "url": "https://www.dica.gov.mm/", "source_class": "official_host", "authority_role": "primary_record", "access_mode": "public_manual", "rights_status": "official_publication_review_required", "implementation": "link_only", "cadence": "event", "geographies": [ "MMR", "MMR-RKH", "CHN" ], "coverage": [ "project_identity", "project_status", "ownership", "finance_commitment", "contractor", "employment", "land" ], "independence_group": "myanmar_dica", "claim_classes": [ "administrative_action", "official_statistic" ], "notes": "Investment approvals and company records; approval is not disbursement, construction, completion or operation." }, { "source_id": "world_bank_myanmar_monitor", "name": "Myanmar Economic Monitor", "publisher": "World Bank", "url": "https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/myanmar/publication/myanmar-economic-monitor-reports", "source_class": "multilateral", "authority_role": "analytical_estimate", "access_mode": "open_download", "rights_status": "attribution", "implementation": "adapter_ready", "cadence": "quarterly", "geographies": [ "MMR", "MMR-RKH" ], "coverage": [ "trade", "fiscal", "employment", "livelihood", "energy", "humanitarian" ], "independence_group": "world_bank_myanmar_monitor", "claim_classes": [ "official_statistic", "analytical_estimate" ], "notes": "Macroeconomic and household context; estimates, nowcasts and observed statistics must remain labeled." }, { "source_id": "unodc_myanmar_opium", "name": "Myanmar Opium Survey 2025", "publisher": "United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime", "url": "https://www.unodc.org/documents/crop-monitoring/Myanmar/Myanmar_Opium_Survey_2025.pdf", "source_class": "multilateral", "authority_role": "analytical_estimate", "access_mode": "open_download", "rights_status": "official_publication_review_required", "implementation": "link_only", "cadence": "annual", "geographies": [ "MMR" ], "coverage": [ "drug_market", "livelihood", "humanitarian" ], "independence_group": "unodc_myanmar_opium_survey", "claim_classes": [ "official_statistic", "modeled_estimate" ], "notes": "Survey and remote-sensing estimates; uncertainty, geographic scope and crop-year definitions are mandatory." }, { "source_id": "ocha_myanmar", "name": "UN Myanmar humanitarian reporting", "publisher": "United Nations in Myanmar and OCHA", "url": "https://myanmar.un.org/en", "source_class": "multilateral", "authority_role": "independent_observation", "access_mode": "open_keyless", "rights_status": "link_only_pending_review", "implementation": "link_only", "cadence": "event", "geographies": [ "MMR", "MMR-RKH" ], "coverage": [ "humanitarian", "livelihood", "human_rights", "conflict" ], "independence_group": "un_myanmar_humanitarian", "claim_classes": [ "humanitarian_observation", "reported_event" ], "notes": "Humanitarian aggregates and situation reports; population denominators, access constraints and publication dates must travel with claims." }, { "source_id": "iimm_reports", "name": "Independent Investigative Mechanism for Myanmar annual reports", "publisher": "United Nations Independent Investigative Mechanism for Myanmar", "url": "https://iimm.un.org/en/annual-reports", "source_class": "multilateral", "authority_role": "independent_observation", "access_mode": "open_download", "rights_status": "link_only_pending_review", "implementation": "link_only", "cadence": "annual", "geographies": [ "MMR", "MMR-RKH" ], "coverage": [ "human_rights", "conflict", "corrections" ], "independence_group": "iimm", "claim_classes": [ "reported_event", "allegation" ], "notes": "Mechanism reporting and evidence-preservation status; 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